Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x9825…9ffc
sports · 1086 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$79 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$89 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$194
Realized−$89
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses504 / 556
Est. fees paid−$441
Open positions20
Markets (closed)1060 / 1086
History coverage56d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day24.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 20 History 1060 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$54
7 days−$16
14 days−$420
30 days−$690
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 26¢ 100¢ $10 $38 +$28 (+284%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 30¢ 88¢ $8 $23 +$15 (+193%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) New York Yankees 67¢ 46¢ $30 $21 −$9 (-31%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 61¢ 56¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-9%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 43¢ 77¢ $10 $18 +$8 (+79%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 47¢ 45¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 30¢ 28¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Federico Cina 45¢ 57¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+26%)
Kolar vs. Cina: Match O/U 22.5 Over 47¢ 75¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+59%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Boston Red Sox 74¢ 54¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-28%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Lucrezia Stefanini 32¢ 30¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 47¢ 33¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-29%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 46¢ 20¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-56%)
Set 2 Winner: Bonzi vs Minaur Bonzi 43¢ 34¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-22%)
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Peter Makk vs Yannik Kelm Peter Makk 36¢ 28¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-22%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Henrique Rocha 30¢ 48¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+62%)
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs Sebastian Gima Sebastian Gima 29¢ 8¢ $10 $3 −$7 (-71%)
ITF Curtea de Arges: Stefan Horia Haita vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Stefan Horia Haita 37¢ 20¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-45%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 26¢ 4¢ $6 $1 −$5 (-86%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Lulu Sun 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Sinja Kraus 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Mexico 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 Under 35¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 Over 41¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Saint-Malo: Celine Naef vs Anna Blinkova Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $6 +$17 +276%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $10 +$18 +172%
Set 1 Winner: Dart vs Rakhimova Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Stefano D'agostino vs Carlos Giraldi Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $9 +$11 +120%
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 12 $10 +$16 +155%
ITF Kayseri: Laurence Teunissen vs Haydar Cem Gokpinar Jun 12 $7 +$8 +108%
Libema Open (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Diallo/Hurkacz Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Aristotelis Thanos Jun 12 $3 +$9 +307%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $10 +$11 +112%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $5 +$10 +188%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Taisei Ichikawa Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$16 +307%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $5 +$7 +129%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Kosuke Ogura Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
ITF Los Angeles: Maxwell Exsted vs Theodore Dean Jun 12 $10 +$13 +129%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 11 $9 −$9 -99%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $10 +$16 +158%
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny Jun 11 $2 +$2 +109%
ITF Los Angeles: Karl Kazuma Lee vs Sasha Rozin Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $10 +$14 +134%
ITF Los Angeles: Gus Grumet vs Tristan Stringer Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $8 −$8 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Ilkley (Doubles): Harrison/Osborne vs Appleton/Pridankina Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
ITF Messina: Fausto Tabacco vs Christian Sigsgaard Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Taverna vs Ambrogi Jun 11 $2 +$2 +93%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
ITF Brasilia: Enzo Kohlmann de Freitas vs Pedro Rodrigues Jun 11 $10 +$32 +316%
ITF Martos: Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $5 +$6 +109%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Bublik/Kyrgios vs Paul/Seggerman Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 43¢ $5 11m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 43¢ $5 11m
Set 2 Winner: Bonzi vs Minaur BUY Bonzi 43¢ $5 12m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 47¢ $5 14m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Lucrezia Stefanini 30¢ $1 16m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Lucrezia Stefanini 32¢ $5 16m
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Peter Makk vs Yannik Kelm BUY Peter Makk 36¢ $5 20m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 41¢ $2 24m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 44¢ $2 26m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 48¢ $5 26m
ITF Curtea de Arges: Stefan Horia Haita vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu BUY Stefan Horia Haita 37¢ $5 31m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 30¢ $2 43m
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs Sebastian Gima BUY Sebastian Gima 28¢ $5 46m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 29¢ $5 1h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 32¢ $3 1h
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs Sebastian Gima BUY Sebastian Gima 30¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 26¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 24¢ $1 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 46¢ $5 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 47¢ $5 1h
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand BUY Yanis Ghazouani Durand 29¢ $5 1h
Set 1 Winner: Dart vs Rakhimova BUY Rakhimova 48¢ $5 1h
Kolar vs. Cina: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 47¢ $5 1h
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand BUY Yanis Ghazouani Durand 41¢ $2 1h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Stefano D'agostino vs Carlos Giraldi BUY Carlos Giraldi 22¢ $5 2h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva SELL Alexander Shevchenko 100¢ $20 2h
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech SELL Bergs/Rinderknech 100¢ $26 2h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 47¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 47¢ $5 2h
Libema Open (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Diallo/Hurkacz BUY Diallo/Hurkacz 30¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 -0.9% -10.3% 43% 43% -10.8%
≤30d 369 +0.5% -9.0% 50% 50% -12.9%
≤90d 1060 +2.8% -7.0% 48% 47% -9.8%
all 1060 +2.8% -7.0% 48% 47% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 47% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 47% -18.4%
15% -24.0% 44% -26.3%
20% -31.5% 40% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $194.33 · official $198.07 · 1892 history records