trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 67% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 44% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 45% | 0% | -10.4% |
| all | 27 | +6.0% | -4.1% | 56% | 4% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.1% | 4% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -13.3% | 4% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -21.6% | 4% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -29.3% | 4% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $30 | $0 | -1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 27 | $34 | −$4 | -12% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 21 | $92 | −$2 | -2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 21 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 21 | $36 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 20 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 20 | $19 | +$2 | +8% |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | May 19 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 18 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? | Jun 27 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Will 'Abyss' win Crunchyroll's Best Anime Song Award for 2025? | May 21 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship? | May 20 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship | May 20 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 19 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $15 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be out as Secretary of Health and Human Ser | Apr 06 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in April? | Apr 06 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April? | Apr 05 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 04 | $17 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 04 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on March 31? | Apr 03 | $17 | $0 | +3% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31? | Mar 28 | $16 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 27 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Mar 25 | $2 | +$2 | +160% |