Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:48:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x9811…5326
crypto · 188 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$262 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$382 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$382
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses119 / 67
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions2
Markets (closed)186 / 188
History coverage77d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 2 History 186 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days−$10
14 days−$25
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 46¢ 40¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-12%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner T1 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION Challengers 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BNK FEARX 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $29 +$51 +175%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 14 $71 −$21 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$9 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$4 +8%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $20 −$13 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $20 +$5 +23%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $93 $0 +0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $38 −$32 -84%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$4 +39%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $10 +$4 +39%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $8 +$2 +26%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner May 23 $4 +$7 +165%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 20 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winner May 19 $10 −$5 -49%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 19 $5 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 10 $21 +$3 +13%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season May 10 $20 +$1 +7%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner May 10 $5 +$5 +91%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $10 +$6 +61%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner May 10 $9 +$2 +18%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 10 $7 +$1 +17%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 10 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 09 $13 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 08 $11 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 08 $4 +$7 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 08 $4 −$4 -94%
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner May 08 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner May 08 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 03 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 03 $26 −$10 -39%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 03 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 03 $6 +$20 +324%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET May 03 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET May 03 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 02 $13 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 02 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 02 $11 −$10 -95%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) May 02 $16 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 02 $11 −$10 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$318
sports 14% +$7
other 13% −$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 46¢ $7 22m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $80 37m
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes SELL Hanwha Eagles 11¢ $6 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 39¢ $20 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 30¢ $9 1h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 48¢ $10 1h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 55¢ $6 1h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 55¢ $17 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $15 2h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes SELL Hanwha Eagles 59¢ $0 2h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes SELL Hanwha Eagles 58¢ $43 2h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 44¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $36 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $31 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 3h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 58¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $45 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $42 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 20¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $20 4h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 81¢ $20 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 89¢ $10 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 93¢ $10 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 85¢ $13 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 85¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -8.7% -17.4% 62% 31% -11.7%
≤30d 26 -22.5% -29.9% 50% 35% -14.8%
≤90d 186 -5.1% -14.2% 64% 49% -15.1%
all 186 -5.1% -14.2% 64% 49% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.2% 49% -15.1%
10% -22.4% 31% -23.3%
15% -29.9% 21% -30.7%
20% -36.7% 15% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.18 · official $6.18 (match) · 523 history records