Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:46:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x9805…5683
crypto · 34 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$13 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses22 / 11
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)33 / 34
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day151.7
Drawdown85%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 52¢ 52¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$6 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $20 +$3 +14%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $50 −$3 -6%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $41 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 62% +$15
tech 30% $0
sports 4% $0
other 4% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +2.6% -7.2% 67% 55% -6.2%
≤30d 33 +2.6% -7.2% 67% 55% -6.2%
≤90d 33 +2.6% -7.2% 67% 55% -6.2%
all 33 +2.6% -7.2% 67% 55% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover151.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 55% -6.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 27% -15.2%
15% -24.2% 12% -23.4%
20% -31.6% 6% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.00 · official $2.95 (match) · 208 history records