Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:58:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x97fe…2bd3 crypto 39 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$32 (-9%) realized −$32 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate67%26W / 13L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day65.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -5.9% -14.8% 67% 38% -20.2%
≤30d 39 -5.9% -14.8% 67% 38% -20.2%
≤90d 39 -5.9% -14.8% 67% 38% -20.2%
all 39 -5.9% -14.8% 67% 38% -20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 38% -20.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 31% -27.8%
15% -30.4% 23% -34.8%
20% -37.2% 10% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 39% · top 2 52% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
38% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$6 · ×0.26 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.51 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses26 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day65.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 39 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $56 −$6 -11%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $28 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -25%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -22%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$5 +45%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +27%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -32%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$17 +82%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $28 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $39 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $30 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $11 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $24 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $25 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $16 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $11 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 83 history records