Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:51:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x97fc…345b crypto 37 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (371 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$2 (-0%) realized −$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate81%30W / 7L
Drawdown23%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day370.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% +$26
finance 2% $0
politics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (371 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +2.7% -7.1% 81% 16% -5.3%
≤30d 37 +2.7% -7.1% 81% 16% -5.3%
≤90d 37 +2.7% -7.1% 81% 16% -5.3%
all 37 +2.7% -7.1% 81% 16% -5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover370.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 16% -5.3%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 0% -14.4%
15% -24.1% 0% -22.7%
20% -31.6% 0% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
80% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
10.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.93 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×3.97 per $1 lost it wins $3.97
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses30 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
History coverage1d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day370.5
Drawdown23%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 37 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $38 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $31 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $28 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $27 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $24 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $23 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $13 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$6 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026? Jun 15 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 15 $5 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 444 history records