Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:21:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x97fb…44bc
crypto · 1085 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$229 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$229 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$229
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses512 / 573
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1085 / 1085
History coverage79d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day15.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1085 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET May 10 $3 +$5 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET May 10 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 10 $3 +$4 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET May 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET May 10 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 10 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 10 $1 +$6 +451%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET May 10 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 10 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET May 10 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 10 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET May 10 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET May 10 $8 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET May 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 10 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET May 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 10 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 09 $3 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET May 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 09 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET May 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET May 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET May 09 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 09 $3 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET May 09 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET May 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 09 $3 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET May 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 09 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET May 09 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 09 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$229
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $0 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 34d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +14.3% +3.4% 70% 60% +3.3%
≤30d 11 +3.9% -6.0% 64% 55% -6.7%
≤90d 1085 -4.6% -13.7% 47% 47% -14.2%
all 1085 -4.6% -13.7% 47% 47% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.7% 47% -14.2%
10% -22.0% 46% -22.4%
15% -29.5% 46% -29.9%
20% -36.4% 41% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.09 · official $21.09 (match) · 2442 history records