Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:54:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x97f9…0aeb
other · 383 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23,284 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23,342 · open +$58
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1,819
Realized−$23,342
Unrealized+$58
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses165 / 212
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$378
Open positions6
Markets (closed)377 / 383
History coverage184d
Avg bet$748
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 6 History 377 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$882
7 days+$976
14 days+$1,001
30 days−$8,012
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? No 79¢ 78¢ $1,615 $1,605 −$10 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 61¢ 100¢ $70 $114 +$44 (+64%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ $34 $53 +$19 (+55%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $18 $25 +$7 (+39%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $13 $13 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $11 $10 −$1 (-11%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? No 68¢ $2,600 $0 −$2,600 (-100%)
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-25? No 12¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 51¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? Yes 24¢ $1,047 $0 −$1,047 (-100%)
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-01? Yes 11¢ $485 $0 −$485 (-100%)
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14? No 23¢ $576 $0 −$576 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 23? Yes 53¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Yes 51¢ $2,225 $0 −$2,225 (-100%)
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19? No 10¢ $314 $0 −$314 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 24? No 18¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-21? Yes 13¢ $273 $0 −$273 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 24? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw? No 87¢ $3,177 $0 −$3,177 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 26? Yes 24¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12? Yes 17¢ $268 $0 −$268 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 46¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-03? Yes 17¢ $664 $0 −$664 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14? Yes 11¢ $283 $0 −$283 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $976 −$976 -100%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $2,207 +$946 +43%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1,938 +$912 +47%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $3,238 +$861 +27%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 10 $767 −$767 -100%
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $59 +$25 +43%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) May 30 $13 −$12 -97%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 30 $21 −$20 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 29 $205 −$205 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $66 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 26 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 26 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 26 $8 +$7 +86%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff May 25 $11 −$11 -98%
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? May 24 $2,782 −$2,782 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $20 +$29 +144%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? May 24 $2,794 +$698 +25%
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? May 22 $2,499 −$2,479 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 21 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 21 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? May 21 $60 −$2 -3%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? May 21 $37 +$27 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 19 $5 −$5 -95%
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? May 19 $2,459 −$2,459 -100%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) May 19 $52 +$50 +97%
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? May 17 $2,752 +$449 +16%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $20 +$31 +158%
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $2,259 −$2,259 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? May 14 $400 +$100 +25%
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $881 +$2,289 +260%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $1,518 −$1,518 -100%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12? May 13 $2,109 +$1,364 +65%
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-12? May 12 $574 −$574 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11? May 12 $60 +$70 +117%
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw? May 12 $1,532 +$458 +30%
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5) May 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? May 11 $81 −$80 -99%
Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? May 10 $2,976 −$2,957 -99%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $2,496 +$1,118 +45%
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $398 −$398 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $1,961 −$1,960 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $970 −$926 -96%
Will Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw? May 09 $60 +$26 +43%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $2,295 −$2,295 -100%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $452 −$452 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $70 −$69 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03? May 04 $16 +$34 +223%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03? May 04 $83 +$121 +146%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 61% −$19,336
sports 37% −$6,690
world 1% +$2,810
crypto 0% −$67
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 79¢ $1,625 10m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 61¢ $70 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $56 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $12 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $6 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $89 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $6 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $30 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $6 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $31 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $9 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $154 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $12 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $14 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $31 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $6 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $60 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $61 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $6 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $18 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $9 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $6 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $12 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $123 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $6 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $24 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $6 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $6 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $60 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $117 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-19.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -16.7% -24.6% 60% 60% +0.1%
≤30d 30 -28.5% -35.3% 40% 40% -38.2%
≤90d 142 -8.3% -17.0% 48% 45% -26.0%
all 377 -11.3% -19.7% 44% 40% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.7% 40% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -27.4% 36% -24.7%
15% -34.4% 28% -32.0%
20% -40.8% 20% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,818.65 · official $1,818.70 (match) · 2297 history records