Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x97f9…4e4f
world · 42 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$40,865 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$39,379 · open +$1,486
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$310,543
Realized+$39,379
Unrealized+$1,486
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses30 / 4
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Open positions8
Markets (closed)34 / 42
History coverage88d
Avg bet$232,892
Trades / day38.3
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 8 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$315
14 days+$1,751
30 days+$5,115
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $102,040 $102,964 +$924 (+1%)
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $70,142 $70,303 +$162 (+0%)
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $56,154 $56,182 +$28 (+0%)
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $43,528 $43,549 +$22 (+0%)
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $18,213 $18,362 +$148 (+1%)
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $10,132 $10,181 +$48 (+0%)
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No 97¢ 99¢ $7,056 $7,205 +$149 (+2%)
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $1,793 $1,798 +$4 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? Jun 12 $27,116 +$27 +0%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 11 $4,035,329 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 11 $12,009 −$18 -0%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $6,429 +$6 +0%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 08 $299,700 +$300 +0%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $312,072 +$1,024 +0%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Jun 02 $69,505 +$265 +0%
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026? May 31 $63,910 +$147 +0%
Trump kiss by May 31? May 23 $310,889 +$311 +0%
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview? May 19 $229,891 +$230 +0%
Will Trump visit China by May 15? May 13 $256,199 +$2,340 +1%
Will Trump visit China by June 30? May 13 $12,072 +$62 +0%
Will Trump visit China by May 31? May 13 $39,580 +$420 +1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? May 11 $256,486 +$257 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? May 10 $599,400 +$300 +0%
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? May 05 $12 −$9 -77%
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? May 05 $199,800 +$200 +0%
Trump out as President by April 30? May 01 $490,705 +$7,330 +2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? May 01 $57,727 +$1,075 +2%
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? Apr 11 $75,500 −$844 -1%
Will Iran strike UAE again in March? Apr 09 $53,620 +$54 +0%
US forces enter Iran by April 30? Apr 09 $343,525 +$1,425 +0%
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? Apr 07 $299,700 +$300 +0%
US forces enter Iran by March 31? Apr 05 $299,700 +$300 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? Apr 02 $204,429 +$410 +0%
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? Apr 01 $178,177 +$1,256 +1%
Trump out as President by March 31? Apr 01 $140,282 +$2,577 +2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? Apr 01 $225,785 +$2,258 +1%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20? Mar 21 $4,245 +$4 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20? Mar 21 $11,822 +$12 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 16? Mar 20 $6,128 +$6 +0%
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15) Mar 20 $249,750 +$250 +0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me Mar 18 $76,341 +$76 +0%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? Mar 17 $24,586 +$17,028 +69%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 63% +$13,967
world 22% +$3,303
finance 5% +$3,787
crypto 3% +$1,030
tech 3% +$1,318
other 2% +$349
economics 1% +$76
sports 0% +$17,028
weather 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $21 11m
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $31 11m
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $21 11m
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $20 11m
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $29 11m
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $29 11m
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $14 11m
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $7,239 11m
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $43,529 25m
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $56,156 25m
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,399 47m
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $28,571 49m
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $7,240 1h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $4,995 1h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $4,995 1h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $9,990 1h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $31 1h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $20 1h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $29 1h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $21 1h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $21 1h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $2,628 1h
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $14,970 1h
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? BUY Yes 100¢ $2 1h
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? BUY Yes 100¢ $58 1h
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? BUY Yes 100¢ $75 1h
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? BUY Yes 100¢ $43 1h
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? BUY Yes 100¢ $104 1h
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? BUY Yes 100¢ $75 1h
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? BUY Yes 100¢ $28 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +0.0% -9.5% 60% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 13 +0.3% -9.3% 85% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 34 +0.1% -9.4% 88% 3% -9.1%
all 34 +0.1% -9.4% 88% 3% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 3% -9.1%
10% -18.1% 3% -17.8%
15% ← realistic here -26.0% 3% -25.8%
20% -33.3% 3% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $310,543.22 · official $310,543.22 (match) · 3500 history records