Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:59:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x97ef…9615
sports · 35 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$7 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Net worth$80
Realized+$13
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses14 / 4
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions17
Markets (closed)18 / 35
History coverage7d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day5.5
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 17 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 74¢ 74¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 69¢ 69¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 80¢ 80¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 78¢ 78¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 93¢ 89¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Spirit 75¢ 74¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 69¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? No 87¢ 84¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 70¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Over 70¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 78¢ 76¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals No 84¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 96¢ 91¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) Chicago White Sox 71¢ 60¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-16%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 6? No 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 70¢ $4 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals No 75¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 Over 70¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +45%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +43%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $5 +$3 +49%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$2 +45%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$3 +49%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$1 +24%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 6? Jun 06 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 05 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on June Jun 05 $10 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 52% +$9
other 26% −$1
weather 16% $0
world 5% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals BUY No 84¢ $5 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 70¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 75¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 70¢ $4 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 68¢ $5 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 74¢ $5 3h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 78¢ $5 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 69¢ $5 8h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 78¢ $5 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $5 10h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $5 10h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 87¢ $5 10h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $5 11h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 80¢ $5 12h
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) BUY Chicago White Sox 71¢ $5 15h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY No 85¢ $5 15h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 69¢ $5 16h
Czechia leading at halftime? BUY No 75¢ $5 17h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $5 17h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 78¢ $5 18h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 93¢ $5 19h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 73¢ $5 19h
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals BUY No 75¢ $5 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 66¢ $5 20h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 70¢ $5 21h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $5 22h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 74¢ $5 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 66¢ $5 22h
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) BUY New York Mets 68¢ $5 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +72%
net ROI/market (all)+2.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +13.7% +2.9% 78% 72% +2.2%
≤30d 18 +13.7% +2.9% 78% 72% +2.2%
≤90d 18 +13.7% +2.9% 78% 72% +2.2%
all 18 +13.7% +2.9% 78% 72% +2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +2.9% 72% +2.2%
10% -7.0% 67% -7.5%
15% -15.9% 28% -16.5%
20% -24.2% 0% -24.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $79.61 · official $79.40 (match) · 51 history records