Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x97ea…3363
sports · 430 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$43,014 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$51,054 · open −$8,410
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23,887
Realized+$51,054
Unrealized−$8,410
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses266 / 107
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Est. fees paid−$1,450
Open positions65
Markets (closed)373 / 430
History coverage56d
Avg bet$853
Trades / day55.0
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 65 History 373 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,877
7 days−$263
14 days+$8,813
30 days+$26,630
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No 82¢ 93¢ $1,882 $2,142 +$260 (+14%)
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $1,673 $1,693 +$20 (+1%)
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $1,600 $1,668 +$68 (+4%)
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? Yes 85¢ 100¢ $1,208 $1,414 +$206 (+17%)
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 66¢ 64¢ $1,343 $1,293 −$50 (-4%)
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 88¢ 84¢ $1,188 $1,136 −$52 (-4%)
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes 73¢ 48¢ $1,712 $1,108 −$604 (-35%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1,114 $1,079 −$35 (-3%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No 86¢ 85¢ $1,061 $1,049 −$12 (-1%)
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? No 68¢ 69¢ $853 $872 +$19 (+2%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes 90¢ 89¢ $799 $789 −$10 (-1%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes 94¢ 65¢ $1,033 $714 −$319 (-31%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes 63¢ 56¢ $683 $609 −$74 (-11%)
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 89¢ 94¢ $536 $561 +$25 (+5%)
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026? No 55¢ 74¢ $413 $558 +$145 (+35%)
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? Yes 82¢ 57¢ $779 $541 −$238 (-30%)
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026? No 93¢ 98¢ $500 $526 +$26 (+5%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? Yes 95¢ 24¢ $1,794 $454 −$1,341 (-75%)
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 70¢ 65¢ $467 $433 −$34 (-7%)
Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO? No 99¢ 100¢ $410 $413 +$3 (+1%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? Yes 80¢ 38¢ $800 $385 −$415 (-52%)
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? No 12¢ 33¢ $130 $362 +$233 (+180%)
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 23¢ 16¢ $523 $357 −$166 (-32%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? No 74¢ 68¢ $356 $331 −$25 (-7%)
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No 83¢ 36¢ $665 $293 −$372 (-56%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,080 +$920 +85%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,733 +$489 +28%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $810 −$810 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,700 +$300 +18%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,143 +$518 +45%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 12 $769 −$172 -22%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? Jun 12 $348 −$6 -2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? Jun 12 $365 −$37 -10%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? Jun 12 $2,589 −$964 -37%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 12 $5,354 +$869 +16%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? Jun 12 $627 −$12 -2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $2,403 +$620 +26%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $1,591 −$1,226 -77%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $976 −$976 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,426 −$1,426 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $964 −$964 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,444 −$1,444 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $779 −$779 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,511 −$26 -2%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $3,166 −$333 -10%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,000 +$111 +11%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $243 +$154 +63%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 12 $6,311 +$962 +15%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Jun 12 $49 +$3 +7%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,096 +$416 +20%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,466 +$867 +35%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $930 +$70 +8%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $381 +$47 +12%
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? Jun 10 $414 +$4 +1%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 10 $61 +$48 +79%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1,181 +$466 +40%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $2,000 +$1,333 +67%
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Jun 09 $240 −$106 -44%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 09 $890 −$890 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 09 $966 −$966 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1,400 −$1,400 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,674 −$1,674 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $136 −$136 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $779 +$400 +51%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $778 +$106 +14%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,178 +$1,044 +89%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $1,503 +$630 +42%
Israel closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $1,352 −$157 -12%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 08 $189 −$104 -55%
Iran closes its airspace by July 15? Jun 07 $145 +$2 +2%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $785 +$326 +42%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $18 +$37 +203%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $852 +$459 +54%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,686 +$636 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 35% +$11,977
world 33% +$26,074
other 14% −$4,347
finance 7% +$8,614
politics 7% −$2,718
tech 4% +$214
crypto 1% +$2,829
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026 BUY No 79¢ $206 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $38 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $24 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $90 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $61 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $19 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 29¢ $39 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $1,866 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL Yes 56¢ $597 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? SELL Yes 46¢ $20 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? SELL Yes 57¢ $281 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? SELL Yes 31¢ $138 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? SELL Yes 31¢ $930 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? SELL Yes 33¢ $21 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 86¢ $505 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 86¢ $126 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 86¢ $157 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 86¢ $157 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 86¢ $116 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 27¢ $381 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? SELL Yes 52¢ $197 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $747 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $114 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $57 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)+17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -0.1% -9.7% 58% 51% -9.9%
≤30d 196 +4.1% -5.9% 71% 47% +1.2%
≤90d 373 +29.7% +17.4% 71% 51% +4.4%
all 373 +29.7% +17.4% 71% 51% +4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +17.4% 51% +4.4%
10% +6.1% 38% -5.6%
15% ← realistic here -4.1% 26% -14.7%
20% -13.5% 18% -23.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23,887.12 · official $23,888.94 (match) · 3500 history records