Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:04:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x97e5…31c5
crypto · 24 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$97 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$98 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$169
Realized+$98
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses11 / 9
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)20 / 24
History coverage6d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 4 History 20 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$106
7 days+$98
14 days+$98
30 days+$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $25 +$25 +97%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $26 +$67 +262%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$34 +165%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $40 −$37 -92%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $40 +$18 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 08 $32 −$32 -100%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $25 +$43 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 07 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 07 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 07 $26 +$38 +146%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 57% +$117
crypto 29% −$51
world 8% −$37
sports 5% +$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $20 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $50 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $41 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $40 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $30 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $40 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $54 23h
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? SELL Yes 4¢ $3 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $25 26h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $26 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 34h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 35h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $20 38h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $40 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $27 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? BUY Yes 52¢ $40 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +20.5% +9.1% 55% 55% +18.3%
≤30d 20 +20.5% +9.1% 55% 55% +18.3%
≤90d 20 +20.5% +9.1% 55% 55% +18.3%
all 20 +20.5% +9.1% 55% 55% +18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +9.1% 55% +18.3%
10% -1.4% 55% +7.0%
15% -10.9% 50% -3.3%
20% -19.6% 40% -12.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $168.65 · official $168.65 (match) · 45 history records