Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:45:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x97cc…a5cf
sports · 63 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$52 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$50
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses19 / 39
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions5
Markets (closed)58 / 63
History coverage98d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 5 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$10
14 days−$19
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) Diego Lopes 58¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? Yes 49¢ 36¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-28%)
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) Kyle Daukaus 27¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card) Michael Aswell 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card) Santiago Luna 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card) Sam Patterson 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims) Andre Fili 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) Bruna Brasil 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims) Chris Curtis 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims) Axel Sola 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card) Brunno Ferreira 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) Jirí Procházka 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card) Manolo Zecchini 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims) Brad Tavares 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) Jacqueline Cavalcanti 46¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) John Yannis 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card) Reinier de Ridder 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Joanderson Brito win by KO or TKO? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims) SuYoung You 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card) Belal Muhammad 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) Shauna Bannon 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) Bruno Lopes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) Harry Hardwick 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 +$11 +158%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $9 −$8 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $2 +$1 +46%
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $1 +$2 +203%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Iwo Baraniewski win by KO or TKO? Jun 07 $4 +$3 +74%
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Bruno Silva win by KO or TKO? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Priscila Cachoeira win by KO or TKO? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Joanderson Brito win by KO or TKO? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, P Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims) May 16 $15 −$14 -94%
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bant May 16 $29 −$16 -54%
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Preli May 16 $14 −$14 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight May 16 $14 +$6 +44%
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims) May 16 $14 +$7 +53%
UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweigh May 16 $5 −$5 -98%
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims) May 10 $1 $0 -97%
Will Franco Colapinto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand May 03 $10 −$10 -97%
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Car Apr 07 $5 −$5 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Ma Apr 05 $1 −$1 -97%
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Ma Mar 29 $3 +$5 +170%
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Car Mar 29 $5 +$6 +122%
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Pr Mar 28 $2 +$4 +225%
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, M Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweigh Mar 23 $2 −$2 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Mar 21 $1 +$4 +245%
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Mar 21 $5 +$5 +103%
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Ca Mar 21 $2 −$2 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Ca Mar 21 $5 −$5 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims) Mar 21 $2 −$2 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Preli Mar 21 $2 $0 +18%
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweig Mar 15 $5 +$2 +44%
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Pr Mar 15 $3 $0 -11%
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Mar 15 $2 −$2 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Ca Mar 15 $4 +$13 +296%
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims) Mar 15 $3 −$3 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prel Mar 14 $2 −$2 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelim Mar 14 $9 +$5 +57%
UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Bolaji Oki (Lightweight, Prelims) Mar 14 $3 $0 -0%
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims) Mar 14 $2 −$2 -100%
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims) Mar 14 $3 −$3 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main C Mar 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$32
other 18% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) BUY Kyle Daukaus 27¢ $2 55m
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Alex Pereira 50¢ $5 1h
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 49¢ $5 4h
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car BUY Diego Lopes 58¢ $5 4h
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 71¢ $5 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 4h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $14 11h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $3 36h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 36h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $7 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 3d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Belal Muhammad 52¢ $9 7d
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai SELL Brendan Allen 92¢ $3 7d
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai BUY Brendan Allen 62¢ $2 7d
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) SELL Tom Nolan 84¢ $3 7d
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) BUY Tom Nolan 27¢ $1 7d
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main BUY Santiago Luna 47¢ $2 7d
Will Iwo Baraniewski win by KO or TKO? SELL Yes 99¢ $7 7d
Will Iwo Baraniewski win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 56¢ $4 7d
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) BUY John Yannis 23¢ $1 7d
Will Bruno Silva win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 7d
Will Priscila Cachoeira win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 7d
Will Joanderson Brito win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 7d
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, P BUY Yuneisy Duben 31¢ $1 7d
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims) BUY Artur Minev 30¢ $15 28d
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bant BUY Jacqueline Cavalcanti 46¢ $16 28d
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bant SELL Ketlen Vieira 55¢ $16 28d
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bant BUY Ketlen Vieira 44¢ $13 28d
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Preli BUY Andre Petroski 59¢ $14 28d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-33.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -33.1% -39.4% 33% 33% -34.0%
≤30d 22 -39.9% -45.6% 32% 32% -45.9%
≤90d 39 -28.1% -34.9% 33% 33% -38.9%
all 58 -26.0% -33.1% 33% 31% -25.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.1% 31% -25.5%
10% -39.5% 29% -32.6%
15% -45.3% 29% -39.1%
20% -50.7% 22% -45.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.37 · official $20.37 (match) · 98 history records