Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:31:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x97cb…9cc5 crypto 332 markets active 4d ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (92 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate54%178W / 154L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day91.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$114
14 days−$96
30 days−$96
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$96
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (92 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 -18.3% -26.1% 51% 37% -20.8%
≤30d 332 -8.5% -17.2% 54% 33% -13.2%
≤90d 332 -8.5% -17.2% 54% 33% -13.2%
all 332 -8.5% -17.2% 54% 33% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover91.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 33% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 12% -21.5%
15% -32.3% 5% -29.1%
20% -39.0% 2% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 35% · top 2 43% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.71 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses178 / 154
Open positions0
Markets (closed)332 / 332
History coverage8d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day91.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 332 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$10 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +46%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 11 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -50%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $83 +$29 +35%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $13 −$1 -10%
BNB Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$1 -12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL No 35¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 787 history records