Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:08:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x97c4…9991
sports · 441 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$144 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$247 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$140
Realized−$247
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses218 / 201
Est. fees paid−$132
Open positions22
Markets (closed)419 / 441
History coverage12d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day131.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 22 History 419 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$86
7 days−$304
14 days−$247
30 days−$247
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 69¢ 86¢ $22 $27 +$5 (+24%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 57¢ 60¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+6%)
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Germany 72¢ 80¢ $13 $15 +$2 (+12%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 61¢ 53¢ $16 $14 −$2 (-13%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 31¢ 30¢ $14 $13 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Germany 81¢ 94¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+16%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner G2 68¢ 69¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 78¢ 68¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-13%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 40¢ 40¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Over 61¢ 74¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+21%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-5%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 42¢ 42¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Over 71¢ 47¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-34%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Over 5¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Over 15¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 37¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Over 31¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Over 10¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-28%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Vitality 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+21%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$1 +17%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -88%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $10 +$7 +71%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $49 −$26 -53%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $11 −$1 -9%
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -62%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $15 +$11 +71%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $13 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $20 −$18 -91%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $13 +$7 +51%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $21 +$10 +48%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $12 −$12 -95%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $15 +$9 +57%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +113%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 +$6 +284%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $2 −$1 -26%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 -46%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $25 −$24 -96%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $9 −$8 -89%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +55%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $26 −$1 -6%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -66%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $52 −$16 -31%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $21 +$11 +52%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$3 +89%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $43 +$19 +44%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $10 −$1 -11%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$1 -39%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $12 −$5 -38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$254
other 2% +$12
politics 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 34¢ $4 0m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 42¢ $3 1m
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Germany 81¢ $5 11m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 5¢ $1 11m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 10¢ $1 11m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 71¢ $2 11m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 99¢ $5 12m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $6 12m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $7 14m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $3 15m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff SELL FUT Esports 60¢ $5 15m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $6 16m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $1 17m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $9 17m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $6 17m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 41¢ $4 17m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 25¢ $2 18m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $1 23m
Spread: Germany (-1.5) BUY Germany 85¢ $5 24m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 31¢ $1 24m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 37¢ $1 25m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 23¢ $1 25m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 4¢ $0 25m
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 26m
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 26m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 57¢ $6 27m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 51¢ $5 27m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 60¢ $10 30m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $4 30m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 70¢ $2 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 174 -13.3% -21.5% 48% 41% -16.8%
≤30d 419 -5.7% -14.6% 52% 45% -12.2%
≤90d 419 -5.7% -14.6% 52% 45% -12.2%
all 419 -5.7% -14.6% 52% 45% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover131.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 45% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 35% -20.6%
15% -30.3% 26% -28.2%
20% -37.1% 19% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $139.99 · official $139.77 (match) · 1770 history records