Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T21:34:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x97bf…b669 crypto 1062 markets active 1h ago coverage 45d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 45d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$3,588 (-1%) realized −$3,588 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate95%1006W / 56L
Whale WR69%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$277per market
Trades / day53.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 45d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$5,663
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 145 -0.5% -9.9% 98% 0% -8.0%
≤30d 466 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 1062 -0.4% -9.9% 95% 2% -11.0%
all 1062 -0.4% -9.9% 95% 2% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 2% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 1% -19.5%
15% -26.4% 0% -27.3%
20% -33.6% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 69% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$239 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,588
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1006 / 56
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1062 / 1062
History coverage45d ⚠
Avg bet$277
Trades / day53.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1062 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$5 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 19 $100 −$82 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $100 −$55 -55%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 18 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $99 −$52 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $70 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $89 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $16 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $28 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $21 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $38 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $43 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.40 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records