Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:06:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x97b8…b7b5
sports · 626 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,053 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,032 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$2,032
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses239 / 386
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions3
Markets (closed)625 / 626
History coverage131d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day24.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 3 History 625 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$87
14 days−$244
30 days−$246
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 6¢ 2¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-66%)
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken? Yes 6¢ 3¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-54%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bruins vs. Sabres Sabres 61¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Avalanche vs. Jets Avalanche 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini VCU Rams 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 23? Up 54¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Pelicans vs. Jazz Jazz 33¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 5? Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers Miami (OH) RedHawks 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Wild vs. Utah Wild 11¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 8? Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Blues vs. Kraken Kraken 56¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
76ers vs. Pelicans 76ers 61¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 on March 19? Yes 80¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Heat Heat 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrov Grigor Dimitrov 91¢ 0¢ $189 $0 −$189 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Philadelphia 76ers? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Atlanta Hawks? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -117%
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28? Jun 12 $0 −$16 -12091%
Solana Up or Down - January 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$10 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$14 +71%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +151%
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Jun 11 $5 −$3 -62%
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 11 $5 −$1 -10%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50 −$1 -2%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $43 +$20 +47%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $10 −$1 -6%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $20 +$40 +196%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $3 +$1 +18%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -96%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $39 +$7 +18%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $15 +$9 +62%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $5 +$2 +43%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $22 $0 +1%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 10 $1 $0 -16%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 10 $5 −$2 -31%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Jun 10 $5 −$1 -27%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $5 −$1 -18%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 10 $3 +$2 +46%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $5 +$4 +76%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $18 +$7 +38%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $42 −$41 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $5 −$4 -88%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 09 $5 −$1 -16%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 +$3 +57%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 43% −$951
finance 16% −$779
crypto 15% −$459
other 14% +$241
world 7% +$43
politics 4% +$9
tech 1% −$87
culture 0% −$13
economics 0% −$7
weather 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $8 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 28m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 27¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 30¢ $8 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $15 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 27¢ $51 13h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 55¢ $11 13h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 69¢ $35 13h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 7¢ $10 14h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 10¢ $21 14h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 27¢ $10 14h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 39¢ $20 14h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 51¢ $10 16h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND BUY 3¢ $15 17h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 10¢ $10 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 95¢ $5 18h
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 26h
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings? SELL Yes 50¢ $5 26h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND BUY 20¢ $8 26h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 51¢ $10 26h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY 3¢ $26 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -34.2% -40.4% 32% 27% -19.6%
≤30d 98 -38.3% -44.2% 31% 27% -26.2%
≤90d 367 -21.9% -29.3% 41% 38% -24.7%
all 625 -12.7% -21.0% 38% 35% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.0% 35% -18.2%
10% ← realistic here -28.6% 29% -26.0%
15% -35.5% 24% -33.2%
20% -41.8% 19% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.62 · official $170.83 · 3500 history records