trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 28 | +15.2% | +4.2% | 43% | 43% | -7.0% |
| ≤30d | 29 | +11.2% | +0.6% | 41% | 41% | -11.5% |
| ≤90d | 29 | +11.2% | +0.6% | 41% | 41% | -11.5% |
| all | 29 | +11.2% | +0.6% | 41% | 41% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.6% | 41% | -11.5% |
| 10% | -9.0% | 38% | -20.0% |
| 15% | -17.8% | 34% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -25.9% | 34% | -34.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 64¢ | 80¢ | $3 | $4 | +$1 (+25%) |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 42¢ | $2 | $4 | +$2 (+85%) |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 16¢ | 4¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-73%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $4 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$1 | +31% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$2 | +199% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$2 | +219% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$3 | +110% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -47% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +118% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$1 | -37% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$4 | +408% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -62% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +63% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -64% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$4 | -71% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -90% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +108% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +203% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +87% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +124% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 11 | $3 | −$2 | -57% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |