trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +8.9% | -1.5% | 100% | 50% | -1.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +19.0% | +7.7% | 100% | 75% | +5.1% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -30.7% | -37.3% | 50% | 31% | -18.3% |
| all | 22 | -33.0% | -39.3% | 45% | 27% | -26.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.3% | 27% | -26.0% |
| 10% | -45.1% | 18% | -33.0% |
| 15% | -50.4% | 9% | -39.5% |
| 20% | -55.3% | 5% | -45.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 60¢ | 64¢ | $120 | $127 | +$7 (+6%) |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 54¢ | 42¢ | $108 | $83 | −$25 (-23%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | No | 63¢ | 59¢ | $33 | $31 | −$2 (-6%) |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? | No | 58¢ | 57¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 25 | $112 | +$13 | +12% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $133 | +$8 | +6% |
| Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $28 | +$9 | +33% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $147 | +$37 | +26% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? | May 25 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? | May 13 | $9 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | May 13 | $25 | +$2 | +9% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | Apr 20 | $132 | −$50 | -38% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? | Apr 20 | $9 | −$8 | -91% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | Apr 15 | $21 | −$19 | -88% |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in April? | Apr 15 | $15 | −$10 | -64% |
| Will Solana reach $90 in April? | Apr 02 | $15 | −$15 | -97% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | Apr 02 | $20 | −$19 | -97% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Apr 02 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in March? | Mar 31 | $25 | +$11 | +46% |
| Will Solana reach $100 in March? | Mar 30 | $20 | +$10 | +51% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Mar 28 | $34 | +$5 | +14% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Mar 26 | $16 | −$5 | -34% |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026? | Mar 20 | $296 | −$116 | -39% |
| Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? | Mar 19 | $130 | +$4 | +3% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | Mar 13 | $36 | −$6 | -17% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | Mar 12 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |