trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -16.8% | -24.7% | 17% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -16.8% | -24.7% | 17% | 0% | -10.3% |
| all | 26 | -6.0% | -15.0% | 54% | 4% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.0% | 4% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -23.1% | 0% | -17.3% |
| 15% | -30.6% | 0% | -25.3% |
| 20% | -37.4% | 0% | -32.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | $43 | $43 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 26 | $37 | −$1 | -1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 26 | $25 | $0 | -1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 25 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $30 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Dec 29 | $13 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 03 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | Jun 26 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 19 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1300 and $1400 on Apr 18? | Apr 17 | $11 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 16 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 30 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28? | Mar 23 | $14 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%? | Mar 21 | $13 | +$1 | +6% |
| SC State vs. MD Eastern Shore | Mar 03 | $10 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | Feb 26 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Northwestern State vs. SE Louisiana | Feb 24 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Monica Barbaro win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 SAG Award | Feb 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Carmelo Anthony make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Ha | Feb 24 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of F | Feb 23 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Evan Mobley win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Feb 23 | $9 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? | Feb 21 | $12 | −$1 | -5% |