Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T07:54:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x979e…f65c crypto 62 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (249 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$902 (+9%) realized +$902 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate42%26W / 36L
Whale WR50%big bets
Drawdown86%max
Avg bet$166per market
Trades / day249.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$498
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (249 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 +1.3% -8.3% 42% 40% -5.1%
≤30d 62 +1.3% -8.3% 42% 40% -5.1%
≤90d 62 +1.3% -8.3% 42% 40% -5.1%
all 62 +1.3% -8.3% 42% 40% -5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover249.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 40% -5.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 39% -14.2%
15% -25.1% 32% -22.5%
20% -32.4% 26% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 26% · top 2 48% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 50% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early +12% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
9.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$175 vs −$113 · ×1.55 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.12 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$902
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses26 / 36
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)62 / 62
History coverage2d
Avg bet$166
Trades / day249.4
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 62 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 29 $156 +$97 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 29 $481 −$469 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 29 $166 +$132 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 29 $643 −$619 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 29 $1,394 −$1,214 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 29 $1,897 −$382 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 29 $1,052 +$1,025 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 29 $488 +$1,182 +242%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 29 $143 −$137 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 29 $40 −$39 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 29 $187 −$178 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 29 $545 +$130 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 29 $634 +$148 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 29 $199 −$188 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 29 $21 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 29 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 29 $20 −$9 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 29 $83 +$73 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 29 $189 +$76 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 29 $5 +$30 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 29 $178 −$173 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 29 $79 −$76 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 29 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 29 $22 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 29 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 29 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 28 $46 −$44 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 28 $195 −$187 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $165 +$412 +250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 28 $246 +$569 +231%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $252 +$355 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 28 $76 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $64 +$30 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $50 +$82 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 27 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 27 $23 −$13 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 27 $20 −$11 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 27 $49 −$46 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 27 $56 −$54 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 27 $66 −$64 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $83 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $123 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $111 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $107 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $129 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $93 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $88 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $33 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 607 history records