Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:21:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x9796…d713
crypto · 295 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$310 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$309 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$309
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses147 / 147
Open positions1
Markets (closed)294 / 295
History coverage1d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day3107.5
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 294 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$309
7 days+$309
14 days+$309
30 days+$309
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 45¢ 50¢ $13 $15 +$1 (+10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $102 −$8 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $85 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $77 −$15 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $240 −$9 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $73 −$12 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$18 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $131 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $73 −$12 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$12 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$16 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$10 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $87 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$14 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $111 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $43 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $149 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$17 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $187 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $219 −$35 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $229 +$18 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $159 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $81 +$9 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$8 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $216 +$31 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $65 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$10 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $82 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $243 −$8 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$11 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $124 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$16 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $160 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $190 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $78 +$12 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $146 +$12 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$310
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $17 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $16 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $21 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $12 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $17 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $15 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $22 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $14 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $15 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $18 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $11 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $11 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $23 20m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 294 -2.4% -11.7% 50% 23% -8.4%
≤30d 294 -2.4% -11.7% 50% 23% -8.4%
≤90d 294 -2.4% -11.7% 50% 23% -8.4%
all 294 -2.4% -11.7% 50% 23% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3107.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 23% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 12% -17.1%
15% -27.8% 8% -25.2%
20% -34.9% 6% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.84 · official $14.84 (match) · 3500 history records