Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:42:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x9789…5bf3
other · 33 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$16 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses13 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)33 / 33
History coverage380d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit55%
Chart Positions 0 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Oracle buy TikTok? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 13 $38 −$1 -2%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $15 +$5 +36%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 12 $18 −$2 -9%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 10 $15 $0 +0%
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? Jun 26 $9 +$10 +116%
Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend Jun 20 $19 $0 -0%
Fed rate cut by June meeting? Jun 18 $19 $0 +0%
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 Jun 17 $19 $0 +0%
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? Jun 17 $30 $0 -0%
Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? Jun 16 $27 $0 +0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 16 $2 −$1 -25%
Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? Jun 15 $18 $0 -0%
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open? Jun 14 $18 $0 -0%
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July? Jun 14 $8 $0 +0%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15? Jun 14 $11 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $220 in June? Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
Will Oracle buy TikTok? Jun 13 $2 +$5 +280%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship? Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
US military action against Iran before July? Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open? Jun 12 $11 $0 -0%
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Jun 11 $3 $0 -1%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025? Jun 11 $15 $0 -0%
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30? Jun 11 $28 $0 -0%
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? Jun 10 $15 $0 +0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files? Jun 09 $16 $0 +0%
Will Evo Morales win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? Jun 06 $24 $0 +0%
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? Jun 05 $21 +$1 +4%
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Jun 04 $2 $0 -11%
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%? Jun 03 $2 $0 +1%
Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korea Jun 03 $21 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on June 3? Jun 02 $21 $0 -1%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 02 $22 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 38% −$1
world 20% +$2
politics 19% +$11
crypto 9% $0
tech 6% +$4
economics 4% $0
culture 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 51¢ $33 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 51¢ $4 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 52¢ $23 4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 52¢ $15 4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 52¢ $1 4h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL Yes 4¢ $1 11h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL Yes 4¢ $2 11h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY Yes 5¢ $2 12h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY Yes 5¢ $1 12h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $6 14h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $15 14h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $15 18h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL No 21¢ $14 22h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL No 21¢ $2 22h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY No 23¢ $13 25h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY No 23¢ $5 25h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 39¢ $15 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 39¢ $5 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 39¢ $10 3d
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? SELL Yes 9¢ $2 351d
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? SELL Yes 9¢ $0 351d
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? SELL Yes 9¢ $3 351d
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? SELL Yes 9¢ $3 351d
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? SELL Yes 9¢ $2 351d
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 351d
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 351d
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 351d
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? SELL Yes 9¢ $4 351d
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? SELL Yes 9¢ $2 351d
Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend SELL No 98¢ $19 358d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)+47.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +2.6% -7.2% 20% 20% -6.8%
≤30d 5 +2.6% -7.2% 20% 20% -6.8%
≤90d 5 +2.6% -7.2% 20% 20% -6.8%
all 33 +63.3% +47.8% 39% 9% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +47.8% 9% -7.2%
10% +33.6% 9% -16.1%
15% +20.7% 9% -24.2%
20% +8.9% 6% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 127 history records