Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x9782…27f2
crypto · 1642 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$245 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$245 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$245
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses796 / 615
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1411 / 1642
History coverage19d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day133.7
Drawdown69%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1411 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$308
7 days−$206
14 days−$121
30 days+$245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +537%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1060%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$4 -584%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$770
other 1% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 563 +2.5% -7.3% 43% 41% -22.5%
≤30d 1411 +13.8% +3.0% 56% 49% -5.8%
≤90d 1411 +13.8% +3.0% 56% 49% -5.8%
all 1411 +13.8% +3.0% 56% 49% -5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover133.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.0% 49% -5.8%
10% ← realistic here -6.9% 43% -14.8%
15% -15.9% 40% -23.0%
20% -24.1% 37% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records