Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:25:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x976e…8453
sports · 1657 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$984 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$973 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$68
Realized−$973
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses977 / 748
Est. fees paid−$189
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1725 / 1657
History coverage71d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day45.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 5 History 1725 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$921
7 days−$817
14 days−$487
30 days−$408
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $22 $22 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 66¢ 64¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 68¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Mjallby AIF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5 Under 70¢ 49¢ $11 $8 −$3 (-30%)
Club ABB vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: Both Teams to Score Yes 65¢ 26¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-61%)
Mega Mozzart vs. Krka Krka 36¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bruins vs. Sabres Sabres 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Wadi Degla SC: Draw at halftime? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Hornets Knicks 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-26? No 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Cholet Cholet 37¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-8.5) PortlandFire 54¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants Kiwoom Heroes 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Belinda Bencic Amanda Anisimova 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-05-06? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Miami Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Darja Semenistaja 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Varvara Lepchenko 51¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 79¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-04-05? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolina Elina Svitolina 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15? Yes 79¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Hailey Baptiste vs. Jelena Ostapenko: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Hornets Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Belinda Bencic Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Miami Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
BNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolina Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Hailey Baptiste vs. Jelena Ostapenko: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. BC Dubai Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Rockets vs. Bulls Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Miami Open: Emerson Jones vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
BNP Paribas Open: Sonay Kartal vs Elena Rybakina Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Thunder vs. Celtics Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Haiti vs. Iceland end in a draw? Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Miami Open, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Austin: Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Miami Open: Katie Boulter vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Blaublitz Akita vs. Shōnan Bellmāre end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ratiopharm Ulm vs. Mitteldeutscher BC Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Argentina vs. Mauritania end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Pacers vs. Knicks Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Botafogo FR vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-01? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Austin: Lanlana Tararudee vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Lakers Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mboko Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-02? Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Saski Baskonia vs. Basket Zaragoza Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will EC Juventude vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Pistons vs. Thunder Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Austin: Kimberly Birrell vs McCartney Kessler Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-04? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Miami Open: Karolina Muchova vs Alexandra Eala Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Miami Open: McCartney Kessler vs Magdalena Frech Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Miami Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Norway vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats ( Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Czechia vs. Denmark end in a draw? Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Antalya 3: Alina Charaeva vs Lia Karatancheva Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Miami Open, Qualification: Madison Brengle vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
BC Rytas vs. Nymburk Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Miami Open, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Sinja Kraus Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% +$348
other 28% −$442
crypto 1% +$12
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz SELL KT Wiz 100¢ $27 39m
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 71¢ $9 1h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 51¢ $5 1h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 23¢ $1 1h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 69¢ $14 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 66¢ $21 3h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm SELL Golden State Valkyries 100¢ $65 7h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 73¢ $18 9h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 81¢ $5 9h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 81¢ $7 9h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 81¢ $26 11h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 80¢ $40 21h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $22 21h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 66¢ $17 22h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 65¢ $16 22h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 65¢ $20 22h
FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 70¢ $21 22h
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 67¢ $14 23h
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 67¢ $3 23h
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 65¢ $3 23h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 26¢ $1 24h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Over 51¢ $12 24h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 57¢ $14 24h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 77¢ $4 24h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $13 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 81¢ $20 32h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 70¢ $7 32h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 70¢ $8 32h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 69¢ $14 32h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings SELL Dallas Wings 100¢ $53 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 208 -44.6% -49.9% 37% 37% -31.4%
≤30d 634 -9.7% -18.3% 57% 56% -12.8%
≤90d 1725 -8.2% -16.9% 57% 55% -12.9%
all 1725 -8.2% -16.9% 57% 55% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 55% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 48% -21.2%
15% -32.1% 33% -28.9%
20% -38.8% 19% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.91 · official $67.92 (match) · 3500 history records