Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:55:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x976c…b629
crypto · 245 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$97 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$157 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$157
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses127 / 118
Est. fees paid−$43
Open positions0
Markets (closed)245 / 245
History coverage77d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day6.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 245 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$314
7 days−$281
14 days−$454
30 days−$316
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $159 $0 −$159 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $566 +$58 +10%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $48 +$18 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $165 −$159 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $316 −$153 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $297 +$45 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $221 +$82 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$92 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $276 −$140 -51%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $251 −$231 -92%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $503 +$4 +1%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $353 +$104 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 −$24 -48%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $213 +$39 +18%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $36 −$6 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 07 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$2 +179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 06 $3 +$4 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens Jun 06 $35 −$3 -9%
Hurricanes vs. Flyers Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Jun 06 $36 −$24 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 06 $6 −$6 -100%
Sabres vs. Canadiens Jun 06 $20 −$20 -100%
Canadiens vs. Sabres Jun 06 $15 −$15 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Ducks Jun 06 $15 −$15 -100%
76ers vs. Knicks Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Jun 06 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% +$355
crypto 23% −$128
other 17% −$384
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 100¢ $624 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 95¢ $75 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 94¢ $401 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 86¢ $80 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $10 4h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $66 4h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 72¢ $48 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $165 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $138 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $106 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $210 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $325 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $16 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $297 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $288 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $40 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $171 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $196 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $103 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $11 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 30¢ $136 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $23 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $253 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 7¢ $20 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $251 9h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $507 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $503 26h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 93¢ $457 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -25.7% -32.8% 53% 41% -16.7%
≤30d 85 -21.7% -29.1% 44% 34% -15.1%
≤90d 245 -5.7% -14.7% 52% 44% -11.3%
all 245 -5.7% -14.7% 52% 44% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.7% 44% -11.3%
10% -22.9% 36% -19.8%
15% -30.3% 30% -27.5%
20% -37.1% 27% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 626 history records