Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T12:58:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
97 0x9767…1a16 sports 35 markets active 1h ago coverage 5d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover
! high turnover
Total PnL +$2 (+0%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +146% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +90% what you keep after slip
Net edge+90%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate37%13W / 22L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$293per market
Trades / day21.4pace
Fees−$288est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 97% −$188
other 3% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)+123.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +146.5% +123.0% 37% 31% -7.8%
≤30d 35 +146.5% +123.0% 37% 31% -7.8%
≤90d 35 +146.5% +123.0% 37% 31% -7.8%
all 35 +146.5% +123.0% 37% 31% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +123.0% 31% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here +101.7% 31% -16.7%
15% +82.2% 23% -24.7%
20% +64.3% 23% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 41% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +146% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +176% → late +119% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$115 vs −$77 · ×1.5 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses13 / 22
Est. fees paid−$288
Open positions0
Markets (closed)35 / 35
History coverage5d
Avg bet$293
Trades / day21.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 35 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Jun 19 $216 −$54 -25%
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Jun 19 $437 +$61 +14%
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever Jun 19 $831 +$99 +12%
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinn Jun 18 $26 −$25 -97%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 18 $195 −$10 -5%
ITF Maanshan: Alberto Lim vs Joshua Charlton Jun 18 $108 −$33 -30%
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky Jun 18 $198 −$13 -7%
Asuncion 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Conner Huertas Del Pino Jun 17 $304 +$80 +26%
Halle Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel Altmaier Jun 17 $120 +$160 +133%
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Jun 17 $45 −$9 -20%
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Fery Jun 17 $421 −$143 -34%
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz Jun 17 $116 −$86 -74%
Parma: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Stefano Travaglia Jun 17 $222 −$129 -58%
Nottingham 2: Jacob Fearnley vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 17 $233 −$11 -5%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics Jun 17 $142 +$113 +79%
Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gustavo Almeida Jun 17 $82 −$80 -98%
Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Jun 17 $329 −$85 -26%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 17 $113 +$293 +261%
Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Martin Landaluce Jun 17 $1,073 −$340 -32%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever Jun 17 $313 −$223 -71%
Dublin: Rio Noguchi vs Clement Tabur Jun 16 $1,100 +$38 +3%
HSBC Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Martin Damm Jun 16 $183 −$31 -17%
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 16 $449 +$23 +5%
Halle Open: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinn Jun 16 $56 −$20 -36%
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez Jun 15 $529 −$41 -8%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $152 +$5 +4%
Asuncion 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Nick Hardt Jun 15 $521 −$252 -48%
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Francesca Jones Jun 15 $229 −$37 -16%
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaider Jun 15 $111 −$30 -27%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $257 +$89 +34%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $204 +$317 +156%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Jun 14 $452 +$155 +34%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 14 $218 +$64 +29%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $254 −$36 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz SELL Ben Shelton 8¢ $16 31m
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Ben Shelton 48¢ $102 59m
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima SELL Brandon Nakashima 63¢ $318 1h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima BUY Brandon Nakashima 45¢ $234 1h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima SELL Brandon Nakashima 36¢ $7 1h
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz SELL Ben Shelton 69¢ $146 1h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima SELL Brandon Nakashima 36¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima SELL Brandon Nakashima 33¢ $157 1h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima BUY Brandon Nakashima 39¢ $204 1h
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Ben Shelton 52¢ $101 2h
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Ben Shelton 57¢ $13 2h
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever SELL Indiana Fever 46¢ $393 11h
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever BUY Indiana Fever 19¢ $206 11h
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever SELL Indiana Fever 35¢ $206 12h
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever BUY Indiana Fever 49¢ $301 13h
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever SELL Indiana Fever 48¢ $301 17h
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever BUY Indiana Fever 50¢ $323 20h
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinn BUY Ethan Quinn 7¢ $26 23h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 18¢ $184 32h
ITF Maanshan: Alberto Lim vs Joshua Charlton SELL Alberto Lim 33¢ $75 32h
ITF Maanshan: Alberto Lim vs Joshua Charlton BUY Alberto Lim 46¢ $108 32h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 18¢ $195 33h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky SELL Chicago Sky 21¢ $3 35h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky SELL Chicago Sky 20¢ $72 35h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky BUY Chicago Sky 29¢ $112 35h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky SELL Chicago Sky 31¢ $110 36h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky BUY Chicago Sky 23¢ $86 36h
Asuncion 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Conner Huertas Del Pino BUY Conner Huertas Del Pino 57¢ $69 40h
Asuncion 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Conner Huertas Del Pino SELL Conner Huertas Del Pino 51¢ $40 40h
Asuncion 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Conner Huertas Del Pino SELL Conner Huertas Del Pino 51¢ $225 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.11 · official $0.00 (match) · 125 history records