Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:00:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x9762…73fb
sports · 401 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
−$1,871 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,875 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$829
Realized−$1,875
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses296 / 104
Whale WR (big bets)74%
Est. fees paid−$1,805
Open positions1
Markets (closed)400 / 401
History coverage89d
Avg bet$869
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 1 History 400 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$70
7 days+$1,266
14 days+$449
30 days−$3,435
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $826 $829 +$3 (+0%)
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 79¢ 0¢ $821 $0 −$821 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17? Yes 72¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Thunder 74¢ 0¢ $586 $0 −$586 (-100%)
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Over 67¢ 0¢ $845 $0 −$845 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Over 68¢ 0¢ $566 $0 −$566 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Halys (+2.5) Zverev 82¢ 0¢ $299 $0 −$299 (-100%)
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 Under 82¢ 0¢ $867 $0 −$867 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 Over 79¢ 0¢ $695 $0 −$695 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $980 $0 −$980 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $177 $0 −$177 (-100%)
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 Over 82¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Ruiz vs. Aguilar: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Over 75¢ 0¢ $377 $0 −$377 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $739 $0 −$739 (-100%)
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 Over 87¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5 Over 84¢ 0¢ $711 $0 −$711 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $891 $0 −$891 (-100%)
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5 Over 85¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bengaluru 2: Kriish Tyagi vs Hamish Stewart Hamish Stewart 85¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5 Over 79¢ 0¢ $1,100 $0 −$1,100 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 3.5 Corners Over 74¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bengaluru 2: Alastair Gray vs Manish Sureshkumar Alastair Gray 89¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 12 $403 −$400 -99%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $503 +$99 +20%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $604 +$156 +26%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $702 +$75 +11%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 199.5 Jun 11 $603 +$89 +15%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $703 +$110 +16%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $452 +$77 +17%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $447 +$130 +29%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $836 +$63 +8%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $352 +$87 +25%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $601 +$147 +24%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $954 +$176 +18%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $788 +$167 +21%
Will Kosovo win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $666 +$122 +18%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $614 +$52 +8%
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $470 +$143 +30%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $360 +$110 +30%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $219 +$141 +64%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $555 −$330 -59%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $491 +$64 +13%
Fery vs. Bu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $502 −$13 -3%
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $489 +$119 +24%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5 Jun 06 $436 +$53 +12%
Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 0.5 Jun 06 $390 +$46 +12%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $352 +$39 +11%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Timo Legout Jun 05 $302 +$49 +16%
Ruiz vs. Aguilar: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 05 $380 −$377 -99%
Canas vs. Squire: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 05 $302 +$78 +26%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 Jun 05 $231 +$71 +31%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $197 +$34 +17%
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $190 +$7 +4%
Bolt vs. Fery: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 04 $164 +$26 +16%
Bertrand vs. Hussey: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 04 $232 +$32 +14%
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $100 +$19 +19%
Beckley vs. Duran: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 04 $88 +$25 +28%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 Jun 04 $62 +$26 +42%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 Jun 04 $277 −$215 -78%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $615 −$338 -55%
Auger-Aliassime vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 03 $513 +$103 +20%
Heilbronn: Marko Topo vs Emilio Nava Jun 03 $403 +$110 +27%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 03 $216 +$186 +86%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 Jun 02 $220 −$3 -2%
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $872 −$867 -100%
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5 Jun 02 $835 +$33 +4%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $1,003 −$269 -27%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $1,003 +$102 +10%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $1,005 +$215 +21%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 Jun 01 $1,007 $0 +0%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $1,003 +$56 +6%
Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $942 +$112 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$7,433
other 15% +$5,555
world 1% +$200
crypto 0% −$191
economics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $127 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $704 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Over 74¢ $403 14h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $602 14h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 83¢ $503 15h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 79¢ $604 37h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 100¢ $777 37h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 90¢ $702 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 199.5 SELL Over 99¢ $691 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 199.5 BUY Over 86¢ $603 2d
Will England win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 100¢ $813 2d
Will England win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 86¢ $703 3d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 77¢ $447 3d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 85¢ $452 3d
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 100¢ $899 3d
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 93¢ $695 3d
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 91¢ $141 3d
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $439 3d
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 80¢ $352 4d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? SELL Yes 99¢ $749 4d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 79¢ $601 5d
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 84¢ $954 5d
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 100¢ $954 5d
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 82¢ $788 5d
Will Kosovo win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 100¢ $788 5d
Will Kosovo win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 84¢ $666 5d
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $666 5d
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 91¢ $614 5d
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 100¢ $614 5d
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 76¢ $470 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +9.1% -1.3% 86% 76% +2.8%
≤30d 151 -1.5% -10.8% 70% 62% -11.6%
≤90d 400 +0.2% -9.3% 74% 68% -9.7%
all 400 +0.2% -9.3% 74% 68% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 68% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 26% -18.3%
15% -25.9% 10% -26.2%
20% -33.2% 4% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $829.45 · official $829.55 (match) · 884 history records