Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:16:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x9760…7010 crypto 894 markets active 3d ago coverage 33d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 33d only
✗ bot/MM pace (78 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$44 (+0%) realized +$44 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate55%518W / 431L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day78.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$63
7 days−$85
14 days−$66
30 days−$96
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (78 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 -43.3% -48.7% 32% 1% -14.4%
≤30d 687 -7.0% -15.9% 57% 11% -10.4%
≤90d 949 -5.0% -14.0% 55% 15% -10.3%
all 949 -5.0% -14.0% 55% 15% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover78.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 15% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 3% -18.9%
15% -29.8% 1% -26.7%
20% -36.7% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
71% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

33d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses518 / 431
Open positions0
Markets (closed)949 / 894
History coverage33d ⚠
Avg bet$13
Trades / day78.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 949 Trades
no open positions (67 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $17 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $19 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $19 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $17 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $17 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $19 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $19 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records