Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:49:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x9752…62be
crypto · 1492 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,063 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,068 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,163
Realized+$1,068
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses678 / 511
Open positions25
Markets (closed)1189 / 1492
History coverage10d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day283.1
Drawdown90%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 25 History 1189 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,261
7 days−$1,021
14 days+$1,068
30 days+$1,068
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $98 $100 +$2 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $98 $100 +$2 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13? No 98¢ 100¢ $98 $100 +$2 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $99 $100 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13? No 98¢ 100¢ $98 $100 +$2 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 13? No 96¢ 100¢ $96 $100 +$4 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? No 99¢ 98¢ $99 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $76 $77 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $76 $76 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 20¢ 100¢ $12 $60 +$48 (+400%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 20¢ 100¢ $12 $60 +$48 (+400%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13? No 94¢ 100¢ $37 $40 +$2 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $36 $36 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 13? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+75%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 13? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 13? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 13? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 13? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-85%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 13? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8? Jun 13 $176 −$176 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $125 −$125 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4? Jun 13 $292 −$292 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 7? Jun 13 $295 −$295 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16? Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16? Jun 13 $286 −$286 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% +$9,773
weather 28% +$1,039
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on June BUY No 99¢ $76 0m
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $88 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $22 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $11 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $81 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $27 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $28 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $46 38m
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $99 41m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $76 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $21 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $28 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $38 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $72 58m
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 58m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $43 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $29 1h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $35 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $16 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-1.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 980 +3.7% -6.2% 54% 36% -11.6%
≤30d 1189 +8.4% -1.9% 57% 37% -7.9%
≤90d 1189 +8.4% -1.9% 57% 37% -7.9%
all 1189 +8.4% -1.9% 57% 37% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover283.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.9% 37% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -11.3% 32% -16.7%
15% -19.9% 31% -24.7%
20% -27.7% 29% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,163.26 · official $1,163.03 (match) · 3500 history records