Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:39:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x974e…fb14
crypto · 414 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$8 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$107
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses212 / 194
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)406 / 414
History coverage741d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 8 History 406 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$1
14 days−$0
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? No 99¢ 99¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 98¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 95¢ 93¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 75¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-31%)
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? No 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on February 2? Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down on December 9? Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15? Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 16? Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP above $3.10 on August 1? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum above $2,500 on June 20? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? Up 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down on December 12? Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down on December 30? Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50? No 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on November 4? Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11? Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on December 12? Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 13 $1 $0 -0%
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Jun 13 $8 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market Jun 12 $100 $0 -0%
Will Elina Svitolina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 11 $1 $0 -1%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? Jun 11 $1 $0 -0%
Will Madison Keys be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 11 $1 $0 -1%
Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 11 $1 $0 -0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? Jun 11 $22 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June? Jun 10 $50 $0 +0%
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap Jun 10 $50 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? Jun 09 $100 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $1 $0 -1%
Anthropic CEO arrested? Jun 06 $1 $0 -0%
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $1 $0 -2%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 06 $2 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun 06 $200 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? Jun 05 $1 $0 -0%
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? Jun 05 $2 $0 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? Jun 04 $99 $0 +0%
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 03 $1 $0 +2%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May? Jun 01 $2 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May? Jun 01 $100 $0 +0%
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 30 $2 $0 +2%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? May 30 $2 $0 +1%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o May 30 $1 $0 -0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 May 30 $52 $0 -0%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May May 30 $2 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? May 30 $30 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May? May 30 $50 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28? May 28 $20 $0 +0%
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 28 $1 $0 -1%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 28 $1 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? May 28 $30 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May? May 28 $56 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26? May 26 $11 $0 +0%
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 26 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 26? May 26 $1 $0 +16%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $1 $0 -1%
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? May 26 $4 −$2 -39%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? May 26 $2 $0 -2%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $2 $0 -1%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $2 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $3 $0 -0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June May 26 $9 $0 -2%
Will Solana reach $140 in May? May 26 $30 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May? May 26 $50 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? May 23 $1 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% +$5
other 12% −$5
finance 3% $0
world 2% −$5
tech 1% $0
politics 0% −$3
sports 0% −$1
economics 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 98¢ $1 1h
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1 1h
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? SELL No 97¢ $1 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? SELL No 97¢ $2 1h
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market SELL No 100¢ $100 20h
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1 2d
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? BUY No 97¢ $1 2d
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $2 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 75¢ $1 2d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $2 2d
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market BUY No 100¢ $100 2d
Will Elina Svitolina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL No 97¢ $1 2d
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? SELL No 100¢ $1 2d
Will Madison Keys be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL No 98¢ $1 2d
Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL No 98¢ $1 2d
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? SELL No 100¢ $2 2d
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June? SELL No 99¢ $50 2d
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap SELL No 100¢ $50 2d
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? BUY No 100¢ $1 4d
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? BUY No 100¢ $2 4d
Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY No 98¢ $1 4d
Will Madison Keys be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY No 98¢ $1 4d
Will Elina Svitolina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY No 97¢ $1 4d
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap BUY No 100¢ $50 4d
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June? BUY No 99¢ $50 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -0.3% -9.8% 11% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 71 +0.0% -9.5% 32% 3% -9.6%
≤90d 154 -1.0% -10.4% 34% 3% -9.7%
all 406 -1.9% -11.2% 52% 12% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.2% 12% -9.6%
10% -19.7% 7% -18.2%
15% -27.5% 5% -26.1%
20% -34.6% 3% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $107.21 · official $107.21 (match) · 998 history records