Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x974b…cc9a
sports · 4 markets active 5h ago
1.5score
−$20 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage4d
Avg bet$93
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$20
14 days−$20
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $190 −$30 -16%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $75 −$8 -10%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Mees Rottgering Jun 08 $56 +$17 +30%
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Ioannis Xilas Jun 08 $50 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 51% −$30
sports 49% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 64¢ $160 5h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 72¢ $190 8h
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce SELL Pierre-Hugues Herbert 61¢ $68 4d
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Mees Rottgering SELL Benjamin Bonzi 100¢ $73 4d
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce BUY Pierre-Hugues Herbert 65¢ $75 4d
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Ioannis Xilas SELL Liam Broady 75¢ $51 4d
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Mees Rottgering BUY Benjamin Bonzi 75¢ $56 4d
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Ioannis Xilas BUY Liam Broady 71¢ $50 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +1.4% -8.3% 50% 25% -14.5%
≤30d 4 +1.4% -8.3% 50% 25% -14.5%
≤90d 4 +1.4% -8.3% 50% 25% -14.5%
all 4 +1.4% -8.3% 50% 25% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 25% -14.5%
10% -17.1% 25% -22.6%
15% -25.1% 0% -30.1%
20% -32.4% 0% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 8 history records