Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:44:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x9749…f6ac crypto 118 markets active 5d ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$17 (-1%) realized −$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate59%70W / 48L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day52.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$89
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -8.7% -17.4% 53% 50% -18.3%
≤30d 118 -0.9% -10.3% 59% 55% -12.1%
≤90d 118 -0.9% -10.3% 59% 55% -12.1%
all 118 -0.9% -10.3% 59% 55% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 55% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 44% -20.5%
15% -26.8% 14% -28.2%
20% -33.9% 1% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$12 · ×0.58 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses70 / 48
Open positions0
Markets (closed)118 / 118
History coverage5d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day52.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 118 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$7 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$8 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$7 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $60 −$40 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $59 −$29 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$12 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$10 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$15 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$11 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $29 −$16 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $31 +$12 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $30 −$11 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $30 +$9 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $30 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $30 −$13 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $30 −$11 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $29 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $29 +$9 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $30 −$15 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $30 −$23 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $31 +$10 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $30 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $29 +$10 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $37 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $40 +$16 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $19 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $39 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $40 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$6 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $19 +$8 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $40 +$10 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $20 −$11 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $20 −$10 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $20 −$7 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $15 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $15 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $15 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $30 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $30 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $30 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 323 history records