Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T11:00:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
97 0x9732…f1c0 crypto 8 markets active 2h ago coverage 209d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1 (+0%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%7W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day0.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$47now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 1 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 1 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
all 7 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 0% -9.2%
10% -17.9% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 30% · top 2 54% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

209d coverage
Net worth$47
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses7 / 0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)7 / 8
History coverage209d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 7 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $47 $47 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? Jun 23 $46 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February? Mar 03 $46 $0 +1%
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January? Feb 14 $46 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $2.70 January 19-25? Jan 26 $46 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? Jan 13 $43 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 24-30? Dec 01 $46 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on November 28? Nov 28 $45 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $47 1h
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $46 112d
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February? BUY No 99¢ $46 128d
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January? BUY No 100¢ $46 147d
Will XRP reach $2.70 January 19-25? BUY No 100¢ $46 153d
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? BUY No 100¢ $43 182d
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 24-30? BUY No 100¢ $46 206d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on November 28? BUY No 99¢ $45 209d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.58 · official $46.58 (match) · 16 history records