trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +19.9% | +8.5% | 100% | 100% | +8.5% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +19.9% | +8.5% | 100% | 100% | +8.5% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +19.9% | +8.5% | 100% | 100% | +8.5% |
| all | 11 | -20.8% | -28.3% | 36% | 36% | -25.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.3% | 36% | -25.6% |
| 10% | -35.2% | 27% | -32.7% |
| 15% | -41.5% | 18% | -39.2% |
| 20% | -47.2% | 0% | -45.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $4,113 | $3,653 | −$460 (-11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $1,859 | +$371 | +20% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)? | Jan 24 | $372 | −$372 | -100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)? | Jan 24 | $394 | −$231 | -58% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January? | Jan 23 | $10,668 | −$2,498 | -23% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | Jan 19 | $354 | −$236 | -67% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 15 | $792 | +$306 | +39% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 12? | Jan 07 | $336 | +$84 | +25% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 6? | Jan 06 | $126 | −$66 | -52% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 11? | Jan 06 | $370 | −$60 | -16% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5? | Jan 05 | $77 | +$29 | +37% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 5? | Jan 05 | $411 | −$132 | -32% |