trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 54¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Will Russia win on 2026-05-28? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Will Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | Jun 08 | $5 | +$2 | +39% |
| Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 08 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 08 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Jun 08 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-01? | Jun 01 | $4 | +$3 | +84% |
| Will Russia win on 2026-05-28? | May 28 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-24? | May 25 | $4 | +$4 | +88% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 25 | $5 | +$4 | +88% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | May 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | May 24 | $5 | −$2 | -36% |
| Will Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | May 24 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22? | May 23 | $5 | +$3 | +53% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | May 23 | $5 | +$4 | +78% |
| Portland Fire vs. Indiana Fever | May 21 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees | May 21 | $3 | +$4 | +143% |
| Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry | May 20 | $3 | +$2 | +74% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? | May 20 | $5 | +$3 | +66% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | May 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League | May 19 | $2 | −$1 | -34% |
| GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Janice Tjen vs Caijsa Hennemann | May 19 | $4 | +$2 | +51% |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17? | May 18 | $4 | +$4 | +105% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13? | May 13 | $4 | +$4 | +119% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -65.4% | -68.7% | 25% | 25% | -66.8% |
| ≤30d | 22 | +5.3% | -4.7% | 55% | 55% | -4.6% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +5.3% | -4.7% | 55% | 55% | -4.6% |
| all | 22 | +5.3% | -4.7% | 55% | 55% | -4.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.7% | 55% | -4.6% |
| 10% | -13.8% | 55% | -13.8% |
| 15% | -22.2% | 55% | -22.1% |
| 20% | -29.8% | 50% | -29.7% |