Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:01:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x9720…ded1
crypto · 68 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses58 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)68 / 68
History coverage20d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -3.1% -12.4% 78% 78% -12.1%
≤30d 68 -1.2% -10.6% 85% 54% -10.5%
≤90d 68 -1.2% -10.6% 85% 54% -10.5%
all 68 -1.2% -10.6% 85% 54% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 54% -10.5%
10% -19.1% 18% -19.0%
15% -27.0% 0% -26.8%
20% -34.1% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.01 · official $1.01 (match) · 127 history records