Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T10:00:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x971d…19bc crypto 461 markets active 1h ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 13d only
✗ bot/MM pace (226 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,522 (-20%) realized −$1,522 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -21% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -39% what you keep after slip
Net edge-39%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate30%139W / 322L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day226.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$99
7 days−$223
14 days−$1,625
30 days−$1,625
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,621
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (226 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-28.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 214 -12.6% -20.9% 35% 34% -18.3%
≤30d 461 -20.8% -28.3% 30% 28% -28.4%
≤90d 461 -20.8% -28.3% 30% 28% -28.4%
all 461 -20.8% -28.3% 30% 28% -28.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover226.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.3% 28% -28.4%
10% ← realistic here -35.2% 25% -35.2%
15% -41.5% 23% -41.5%
20% -47.2% 20% -47.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -21% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -21% · $-wt -21% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -26% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$20 vs −$13 · ×1.45 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,522
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses139 / 322
Open positions0
Markets (closed)461 / 461
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$17
Trades / day226.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 461 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $17 +$95 +552%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $33 +$156 +467%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $28 +$56 +199%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $18 +$21 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $12 +$43 +370%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$36 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$86 +1147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$14 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $14 +$22 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $37 +$29 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $13 +$9 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records