trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| all | 16 | +77.4% | +60.5% | 38% | 25% | -49.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +60.5% | 25% | -49.6% |
| 10% | +45.1% | 25% | -54.4% |
| 15% | +31.1% | 25% | -58.8% |
| 20% | +18.3% | 19% | -62.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 44¢ | 39¢ | $200 | $176 | −$24 (-12%) |
| Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 37¢ | $30 | $39 | +$9 (+30%) |
| Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw? | Yes | 9¢ | 1¢ | $45 | $4 | −$41 (-91%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 14 | $888 | −$883 | -99% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November | Nov 17 | $10 | +$212 | +2122% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on November | Nov 12 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November | Nov 12 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 09 | $128 | +$72 | +56% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 6? | Nov 09 | $100 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6? | Nov 06 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5? | Nov 05 | $146 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5? | Nov 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025 | Nov 05 | $60 | +$84 | +139% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025 | Nov 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025 | Nov 04 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025 | Nov 03 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025 | Nov 03 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025 | Nov 03 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 03 | $152 | +$56 | +37% |