Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:29:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
97 0x9710…04e5 crypto 1445 markets active 0h ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (71 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$4,097 (+1%) realized +$4,097 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%1431W / 17L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown38%max
Avg bet$322per market
Trades / day71.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 29d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,590
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (71 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 245 -2.0% -11.4% 97% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 1448 +0.3% -9.3% 99% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 1448 +0.3% -9.3% 99% 0% -9.2%
all 1448 +0.3% -9.3% 99% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover71.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 0% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$250 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.38 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,097
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1431 / 17
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1448 / 1445
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$322
Trades / day71.1
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1448 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $297 −$297 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $291 −$291 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $291 −$291 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $292 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $588 +$12 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $450 +$9 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $589 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $448 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $589 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $321 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $250 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $589 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $129 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $207 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $368 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $627 +$7 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $203 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $589 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $524 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $683 +$8 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $292 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $438 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $150 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $594 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $594 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $358 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $294 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $594 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $589 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $448 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $594 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $589 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $594 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $321 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $594 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $250 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $594 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $100 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $103 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $594 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $594 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records