Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:21:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x970d…022e
weather · 67 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$152 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$152 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$152
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses12 / 55
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage46d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$80
14 days−$134
30 days−$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 11? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 7? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 6? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 7? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5? No 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 14? Jun 13 $27 −$1 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $28 $0 -1%
Will 6+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA Jun 12 $11 −$8 -76%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $18 −$2 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 12? Jun 11 $28 −$4 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 12? Jun 11 $28 −$3 -9%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 12? Jun 11 $20 −$14 -71%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $16 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $14 −$3 -20%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 $0 -10%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 11? Jun 10 $5 −$2 -47%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 11? Jun 10 $14 −$1 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 11? Jun 10 $6 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10? Jun 09 $24 −$3 -11%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 10? Jun 09 $20 −$7 -33%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 9? Jun 09 $22 −$3 -15%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9? Jun 08 $14 −$1 -11%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 8? Jun 08 $15 −$5 -31%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 6? Jun 08 $1 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 08 $7 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 8? Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 7? Jun 08 $26 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 4? Jun 08 $19 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4? Jun 08 $22 −$17 -79%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 5? Jun 08 $16 −$3 -18%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 7? Jun 08 $4 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 +$1 +47%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 7? Jun 08 $15 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 8? Jun 08 $28 −$3 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 7? Jun 06 $2 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 7? Jun 06 $26 −$6 -21%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 7? Jun 06 $9 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 6? Jun 05 $1 $0 -19%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 6? Jun 05 $2 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5? Jun 05 $61 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 4? Jun 04 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4? Jun 03 $15 $0 -1%
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Semen Pankin Jun 03 $1 $0 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 3? Jun 03 $17 −$3 -15%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 3? Jun 03 $1 $0 -34%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3? Jun 02 $30 −$1 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 3? Jun 02 $8 $0 -0%
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the Jun 02 $10 −$5 -49%
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the Jun 02 $5 −$2 -41%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June? Jun 02 $24 −$7 -31%
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead Jun 02 $5 −$4 -90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 73% −$85
other 11% −$47
culture 10% −$11
finance 3% −$5
world 2% −$3
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 14? SELL No 53¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 14? SELL No 54¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 14? SELL No 54¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 14? SELL No 53¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 14? SELL No 54¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 14? BUY No 54¢ $27 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? SELL Yes 40¢ $0 18h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? SELL Yes 34¢ $0 18h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 57¢ $6 20h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 56¢ $7 20h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 56¢ $7 20h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? SELL Yes 32¢ $1 20h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 54¢ $7 20h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 55¢ $28 20h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? SELL Yes 32¢ $2 20h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 20h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? SELL Yes 41¢ $0 21h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? BUY Yes 43¢ $1 22h
Will 6+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA SELL Yes 14¢ $1 23h
Will 6+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA SELL Yes 14¢ $1 23h
Will 6+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA SELL Yes 14¢ $1 23h
Will 6+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA SELL Yes 14¢ $1 23h
Will 6+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA BUY Yes 56¢ $11 23h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? SELL No 59¢ $4 39h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? SELL No 59¢ $4 39h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? SELL No 59¢ $4 39h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? SELL No 63¢ $4 39h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? BUY No 65¢ $18 39h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 12? SELL No 46¢ $0 46h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 12? SELL No 55¢ $1 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-24.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -16.1% -24.1% 15% 6% -24.9%
≤30d 66 -16.1% -24.0% 18% 8% -24.1%
≤90d 67 -16.0% -24.0% 18% 7% -24.0%
all 67 -16.0% -24.0% 18% 7% -24.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.0% 7% -24.0%
10% -31.3% 6% -31.3%
15% -37.9% 4% -37.9%
20% -44.0% 3% -44.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 301 history records