Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:10:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x970a…d5a4
sports · 106 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$86 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$81 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$81
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses34 / 66
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions6
Markets (closed)100 / 106
History coverage193d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 6 History 100 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$25
14 days+$15
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 12¢ 12¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Dziki Warszawa vs. Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 33¢ 32¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Partizan vs. BC Dubai BC Dubai 32¢ 30¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Valencia vs. Joventut Joventut 28¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
MLP Austin: California Black Bears vs Columbus Sliders California Black Bears 32¢ 20¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-39%)
BC Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Juventus Utena BC Juventus Utena 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$3 (-90%)
Will Reds win? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 Series Namibia vs Scotland: Namibia vs Scotland Namibia 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Paul/Willis vs Bolelli/Vavassori Paul/Willis 20¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Balaji/Demoliner vs Helioevaara/Patten Balaji/Demoliner 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
MLP Austin: New Jersey 5s vs Bay Area Breakers Bay Area Breakers 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
ITF Luan: Qian Sun vs Xiaoyin Yang Xiaoyin Yang 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Makarska (Doubles): Martins/Ovcharenko vs Haverlag/Waltert Martins/Ovcharenko 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
ITF Los Angeles: Marcel Latak vs Nathan Trouve Marcel Latak 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
T20 Easter Womens Cup: Uganda vs USA USA 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Shenzhen Leopards Sichuan Blue Whales 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Heat vs. Magic Heat 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Kingzone vs One Coin (BO1) - CN League Kickoff Group A One Coin 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Danilina/Krunic Aoyama/Liang 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: All Gamers vs My Queen (BO1) - CN League Kickoff Group A My Queen 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Utsunomiya Brex vs. Osaka Evessa Osaka Evessa 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden Indonesia 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giants Lucknow Super Giants 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Four Angry Men vs Leviatán Soul (BO1) - CN League Kickoff Group B Leviatán Soul 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
MLP Austin: Florida Smash vs Dallas Flash Jun 12 $3 +$6 +165%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $4 +$6 +180%
MLP Austin: New Jersey 5s vs Bay Area Breakers Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
ITF Los Angeles: Marcel Latak vs Nathan Trouve Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
ITF Wichita: Matisse Farzam vs Kenta Miyoshi Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz Jun 11 $4 +$6 +146%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins Jun 10 $6 −$6 -98%
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 07 $4 +$26 +596%
Makarska (Doubles): Martins/Ovcharenko vs Haverlag/Waltert Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Zuffa Boxing 7: Hughes vs. Vergiev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
MLP St. Louis: Los Angeles Mad Drops vs Las Vegas Night Owls Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Dimitris Azoidis Jun 06 $2 +$6 +238%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bahrain vs Mongolia Jun 06 $5 +$15 +276%
Will Reds win? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Danilina/Krunic Jun 05 $4 −$4 -100%
Tyler (Doubles): Bollipalli/Ramanathan vs Fenty/Perez Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants Jun 05 $4 −$4 -98%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions Jun 05 $4 +$6 +146%
ITF Caserta: Laura Pigossi vs Anastasia Tikhonova Jun 04 $4 −$4 -98%
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Halys/Herbert vs Helioevaara/Patten Jun 04 $4 −$4 -98%
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz Jun 04 $4 −$4 -98%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears Jun 04 $4 +$1 +29%
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Halys/Herbert Jun 04 $5 +$2 +44%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Alexandra Shubladze Jun 04 $1 +$9 +874%
ITF Luan: Qian Sun vs Xiaoyin Yang Jun 03 $3 −$2 -98%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman Jun 03 $4 −$4 -98%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Singapore Jun 03 $4 −$4 -98%
ITF Wuning: JiaYi Wang vs Han Shi Jun 02 $4 +$11 +291%
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Balaji/Demoliner vs Helioevaara/Patten Jun 02 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Reyes/Tabilo Jun 02 $5 +$1 +23%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 01 $4 +$6 +180%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $2 −$2 -98%
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Droguet/Gaston vs Halys/Herbert Jun 01 $2 −$2 -98%
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Balaji/Demoliner Jun 01 $4 −$4 -100%
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Erler/Miedler Jun 01 $10 +$3 +31%
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Paul/Willis vs Bolelli/Vavassori May 31 $7 −$7 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Apr 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Utsunomiya Brex vs. Osaka Evessa Apr 15 $4 −$4 -98%
T20 Series Namibia vs Scotland: Namibia vs Scotland Apr 15 $3 −$3 -98%
T20 Easter Womens Cup: Uganda vs USA Apr 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Gi Apr 15 $4 −$4 -98%
AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. San Jose Barracuda Apr 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Rainbow Six Siege: Four Angry Men vs Leviatán Soul (BO1) - CN League K Apr 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Overwatch: ENTER FORCE.36 vs VARREL (BO4) - OCS Japan Stage 1 Playoffs Apr 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Beijing Ducks vs. Qingdao Eagles Apr 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Ningbo Rockets Apr 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 39% −$22
other 34% −$64
tech 12% +$2
world 11% $0
crypto 2% −$1
politics 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BC Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Juventus Utena BUY BC Juventus Utena 4¢ $4 1h
Partizan vs. BC Dubai BUY BC Dubai 32¢ $3 1h
Valencia vs. Joventut BUY Joventut 28¢ $3 1h
Dziki Warszawa vs. Arka Gdynia BUY Arka Gdynia 33¢ $3 1h
MLP Austin: California Black Bears vs Columbus Sliders BUY California Black Bears 32¢ $4 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 12¢ $5 1h
MLP Austin: New Jersey 5s vs Bay Area Breakers BUY Bay Area Breakers 23¢ $3 23h
ITF Los Angeles: Marcel Latak vs Nathan Trouve BUY Marcel Latak 28¢ $3 24h
ITF Wichita: Matisse Farzam vs Kenta Miyoshi BUY Matisse Farzam 28¢ $2 24h
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia BUY Reyer Venezia 18¢ $2 24h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Federico Coria 35¢ $4 24h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 36¢ $4 24h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 24h
MLP Austin: New Jersey 5s vs Bay Area Breakers BUY Bay Area Breakers 22¢ $1 24h
MLP Austin: Florida Smash vs Dallas Flash BUY Florida Smash 37¢ $3 24h
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife BUY La Laguna Tenerife 18¢ $4 24h
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 40¢ $4 2d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins BUY SSG Landers 29¢ $6 2d
Makarska (Doubles): Martins/Ovcharenko vs Haverlag/Waltert BUY Martins/Ovcharenko 34¢ $3 6d
Zuffa Boxing 7: Hughes vs. Vergiev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) BUY Vergiev 25¢ $5 6d
MLP St. Louis: Los Angeles Mad Drops vs Las Vegas Night Owls BUY Las Vegas Night Owls 31¢ $3 6d
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife BUY La Laguna Tenerife 14¢ $4 6d
Will Reds win? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 6d
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Dimitris Azoidis BUY Dimitris Azoidis 29¢ $2 6d
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bahrain vs Mongolia BUY Mongolia 26¢ $5 6d
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Danilina/Krunic BUY Aoyama/Liang 22¢ $4 7d
Tyler (Doubles): Bollipalli/Ramanathan vs Fenty/Perez BUY Fenty/Perez 2¢ $1 7d
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants BUY Lotte Giants 37¢ $4 7d
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions BUY NC Dinos 40¢ $4 8d
ITF Caserta: Laura Pigossi vs Anastasia Tikhonova BUY Anastasia Tikhonova 44¢ $4 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +22.3% +10.6% 33% 33% +27.6%
≤30d 40 +15.4% +4.5% 35% 35% -0.6%
≤90d 72 -6.2% -15.1% 31% 31% -12.8%
all 100 -8.1% -16.9% 34% 30% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.9% 30% -18.4%
10% -24.8% 28% -26.2%
15% -32.1% 19% -33.4%
20% -38.7% 18% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.92 · official $16.92 (match) · 161 history records