Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:42:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x9702…9e1d crypto 332 markets active 1h ago coverage 20d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$84 (-0%) realized −$84 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%324W / 8L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$59per market
Trades / day23.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$76
7 days−$26
14 days−$79
30 days−$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 +0.3% -9.2% 97% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 332 -0.3% -9.8% 98% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 332 -0.3% -9.8% 98% 0% -9.9%
all 332 -0.3% -9.8% 98% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover23.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 0% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$32 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$84
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses324 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)332 / 332
History coverage20d
Avg bet$59
Trades / day23.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 332 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $225 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $225 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $225 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $223 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $223 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $225 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $225 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $223 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $214 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $250 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $249 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $250 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $250 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $247 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $247 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $245 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $250 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $250 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $385 −$135 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $247 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $248 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $225 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $225 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $151 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $151 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $57 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $168 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $223 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $223 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $54 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $169 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $165 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $35 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $223 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $248 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $32 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $154 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $146 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 837 history records