Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:25:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x9702…ca89
crypto · 614 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$196 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$196 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$196
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses249 / 363
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)612 / 614
History coverage105d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day15.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 612 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$15 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$8 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$10 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$23 +201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$8 +189%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$171
sports 2% −$18
other 1% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $34 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 179 -5.4% -14.4% 40% 39% -8.3%
≤30d 216 -8.7% -17.4% 39% 38% -12.4%
≤90d 607 -10.0% -18.6% 41% 38% -14.2%
all 612 -9.9% -18.5% 41% 38% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.5% 38% -13.9%
10% -26.3% 35% -22.1%
15% -33.4% 32% -29.6%
20% -39.9% 28% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.30 · official $21.30 (match) · 1663 history records