Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:56:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x9700…798f
crypto · 294 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,913 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,296 · open −$618
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,182
Realized−$5,296
Unrealized−$618
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses152 / 140
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$318
Open positions2
Markets (closed)292 / 294
History coverage83d
Avg bet$316
Trades / day10.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 292 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,278
7 days+$1,504
14 days+$2,643
30 days+$1,487
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Vitality 77¢ 70¢ $1,299 $1,181 −$118 (-9%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 57¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 63¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) G2 46¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 78¢ 0¢ $760 $0 −$760 (-100%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) G2 30¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 42¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 23? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $977 $0 −$977 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage MOUZ 44¢ 0¢ $340 $0 −$340 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 52¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner Natus Vincere 10¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Vitality 66¢ 0¢ $244 $0 −$244 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5 Over 59¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $925 +$409 +44%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $204 +$332 +163%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $203 +$231 +114%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $597 +$447 +75%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 12 $351 −$187 -53%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $301 +$47 +16%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $199 +$105 +53%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $121 +$75 +62%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Jun 11 $185 +$40 +22%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Jun 10 $196 −$10 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 08 $78 −$74 -95%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $41 +$34 +83%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $101 −$100 -99%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 07 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $203 −$200 -99%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $101 +$84 +82%
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) Jun 07 $87 +$176 +203%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $41 +$46 +114%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 07 $105 −$100 -96%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $101 +$21 +21%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $127 −$125 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $182 +$110 +60%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $192 +$135 +70%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $353 +$128 +36%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $252 +$101 +40%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $151 +$72 +47%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $91 −$90 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $30 +$18 +60%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $20 +$15 +76%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 06 $123 +$4 +3%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $66 −$65 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $105 +$214 +204%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $122 +$123 +101%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $202 +$137 +67%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $263 +$159 +60%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $102 +$98 +97%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $124 −$122 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $61 +$125 +204%
Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5) Jun 04 $61 +$64 +105%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $78 +$77 +100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $435 +$241 +55%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 03 $101 +$84 +82%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $142 +$108 +76%
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5) Jun 03 $51 −$48 -93%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $200 −$198 -99%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $176 +$18 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 60% −$5,952
sports 39% +$421
finance 1% −$157
other 0% −$225
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 77¢ $1,308 28m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $1,334 30m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $925 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $536 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 37¢ $204 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 57¢ $506 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $434 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $1,044 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 66¢ $394 5h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $203 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 46¢ $203 6h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? SELL Yes 18¢ $164 27h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? BUY Yes 37¢ $351 46h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $348 46h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 86¢ $301 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $305 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 65¢ $199 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $197 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 61¢ $121 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 42¢ $102 2d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? SELL Yes 27¢ $225 2d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY Yes 21¢ $185 3d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? SELL Yes 67¢ $186 3d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? BUY Yes 69¢ $196 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $48 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 5d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 54¢ $41 5d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY GamerLegion 63¢ $101 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +14.8% +3.8% 63% 63% +15.4%
≤30d 97 +5.7% -4.3% 62% 59% -2.4%
≤90d 292 -1.3% -10.7% 52% 50% -14.8%
all 292 -1.3% -10.7% 52% 50% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 50% -14.8%
10% -19.3% 45% -22.9%
15% -27.1% 39% -30.4%
20% -34.2% 33% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,181.59 · official $1,181.59 (match) · 940 history records