Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:01:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
96 0x96fc…edc6 crypto 222 markets active 1h ago coverage 19d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$128 (-8%) realized −$128 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate41%92W / 130L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day21.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$78
7 days−$136
14 days−$186
30 days−$186
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$170
world 2% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 213 -3.9% -13.0% 43% 41% -17.9%
≤30d 222 -7.2% -16.1% 41% 39% -20.4%
≤90d 222 -7.2% -16.1% 41% 39% -20.4%
all 222 -7.2% -16.1% 41% 39% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 39% -20.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 36% -28.0%
15% -31.4% 35% -35.0%
20% -38.1% 32% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$6 · ×1.05 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$128
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses92 / 130
Open positions0
Markets (closed)222 / 222
History coverage19d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day21.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 222 Trades
no open positions (110 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$7 +138%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$8 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$7 +684%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6AM ET Jun 16 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 16 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? Jun 16 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$19 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $21 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $31 +$18 +59%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$9 +166%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +80%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$8 +152%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $52 +$33 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$7 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +44%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$12 +59%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$18 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$9 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$4 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $52 +$9 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $22 −$21 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$16 +75%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $7 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $11 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $11 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $8 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 16h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $39 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $21 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $49 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 432 history records