Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T01:38:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
96 0x96fa…01f5 crypto 1925 markets active 1h ago coverage 77d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$37 (-0%) realized −$2,708 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate59%1213W / 855L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day37.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,291
7 days−$2,271
14 days−$2,249
30 days−$2,385
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$341
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 319 -59.5% -63.3% 24% 24% -85.2%
≤30d 740 -27.2% -34.1% 42% 42% -62.8%
≤90d 2068 -10.5% -19.0% 59% 58% -28.2%
all 2068 -10.5% -19.0% 59% 58% -28.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover37.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 58% -28.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 54% -35.1%
15% -33.9% 41% -41.4%
20% -40.3% 17% -47.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -21% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -21% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.37 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.52 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

77d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,708
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses1213 / 855
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2068 / 1925
History coverage77d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day37.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2068 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $33 −$33 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $79 −$79 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $29 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $15 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $4 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records