Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:09:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x96ed…04b9
crypto · 1839 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$542 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$542 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$542
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses1593 / 470
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2063 / 1839
History coverage37d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day51.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 2063 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$501
7 days−$513
14 days−$521
30 days−$524
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 94¢ 93¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -657%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1526%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$5 -1290%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -775%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -2902%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -2799%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -2803%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1758%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1334%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1253%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -550%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -2032%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -613%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -700%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -2029%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -2683%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1751%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -3822%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -1819%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -826%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -826%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -650%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -1655%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$39
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 2h
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 668 -34.8% -41.0% 58% 25% -33.2%
≤30d 1677 -14.4% -22.6% 75% 47% -18.0%
≤90d 2063 -12.2% -20.5% 77% 50% -16.6%
all 2063 -12.2% -20.5% 77% 50% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.5% 50% -16.6%
10% ← realistic here -28.1% 4% -24.5%
15% -35.1% 0% -31.8%
20% -41.4% 0% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.94 · official $5.33 · 3500 history records