Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x96e5…1d85
weather · 598 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$576 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$331 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,942
Realized+$331
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses560 / 20
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions18
Markets (closed)580 / 598
History coverage90d
Avg bet$210
Trades / day35.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 18 History 580 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$75
7 days+$209
14 days+$330
30 days+$200
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 93¢ 92¢ $279 $276 −$3 (-1%)
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 87¢ 88¢ $261 $262 +$2 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 15? No 98¢ 98¢ $250 $250 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15? No 97¢ 97¢ $245 $246 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 14? No 97¢ 99¢ $216 $220 +$4 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 15? No 100¢ 99¢ $218 $217 −$1 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $198 $199 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 15? No 99¢ 99¢ $198 $198 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $188 $189 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 15? No 99¢ 99¢ $188 $189 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14? No 99¢ 98¢ $128 $127 −$1 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on June 15? No 95¢ 95¢ $106 $106 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 15? No 99¢ 97¢ $99 $97 −$2 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $94 $95 +$0 (+0%)
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? No 93¢ 92¢ $93 $92 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $91 $90 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 15? No 99¢ 99¢ $47 $47 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 14? No 98¢ 99¢ $41 $41 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29? No 96¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13? Down 33¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? Jun 14 $120 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 14? Jun 14 $88 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 14? Jun 14 $97 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 14? Jun 14 $84 +$2 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 14? Jun 14 $36 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14? Jun 14 $99 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 14? Jun 14 $200 +$1 +1%
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $265 +$20 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $145 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $79 +$5 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $198 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $117 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $9 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $115 +$12 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $99 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $118 +$12 +10%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $24 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $143 +$9 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 13? Jun 13 $29 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $68 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $78 +$1 +1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $3,300 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $3,367 −$12 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $188 +$3 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $128 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $92 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 12? Jun 12 $103 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $283 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $142 +$3 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $129 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $206 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? Jun 11 $209 +$7 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 11? Jun 11 $219 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $236 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $128 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $250 +$27 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $128 +$4 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $151 +$3 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $101 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $19 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $145 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 11? Jun 11 $117 +$3 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $225 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $231 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10? Jun 10 $160 +$3 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 10? Jun 10 $157 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 10? Jun 10 $123 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 10? Jun 10 $51 $0 +1%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $122 +$5 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 10? Jun 10 $98 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 80% +$1,346
world 6% −$703
finance 5% −$225
other 3% −$94
tech 3% −$12
politics 2% +$28
crypto 1% −$9
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $16 10m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $5 12m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $5 12m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 14? SELL No 99¢ $5 13m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $5 14m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $8 16m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $5 17m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $28 17m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $25 22m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $7 39m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $2 44m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $7 44m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $5 44m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $5 44m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $7 53m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $30 57m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 14? SELL No 99¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $25 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $25 1h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $47 1h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $99 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on June 15? BUY No 95¢ $106 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 15? BUY No 98¢ $250 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15? BUY No 97¢ $246 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $198 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 +19.8% +8.4% 96% 3% -8.4%
≤30d 180 +9.1% -1.3% 95% 2% -9.1%
≤90d 580 +3.2% -6.6% 97% 2% -9.3%
all 580 +3.2% -6.6% 97% 2% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.6% 2% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.6% 1% -18.0%
15% -23.7% 0% -25.9%
20% -31.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,942.28 · official $2,942.24 (match) · 3500 history records