Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:58:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x96e2…cbd7
other · 18 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$5 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized+$7
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses3 / 8
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)11 / 18
History coverage4d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day12.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit28%
Chart Positions 7 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Over 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Yes 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Federico Coria 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $18 +$16 +90%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Jun 12 $3 −$2 -76%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $6 $0 -6%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 +$12 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 79% +$13
crypto 13% −$4
sports 8% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $6 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $15 9h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 18¢ $2 9h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $3 9h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 25¢ $3 9h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 40¢ $3 9h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 62¢ $5 9h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 64¢ $1 14h
Jonathan David: 1+ goals SELL Yes 31¢ $1 14h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Over 9¢ $2 17h
Jonathan David: 1+ goals BUY Yes 35¢ $3 17h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 46¢ $3 17h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 29¢ $3 17h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $6 17h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $6 17h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 40¢ $3 27h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 27h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 27h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $5 27h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 27h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $3 27h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $19 27h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 3d
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-24.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -16.8% -24.7% 27% 27% -0.5%
≤30d 11 -16.8% -24.7% 27% 27% -0.5%
≤90d 11 -16.8% -24.7% 27% 27% -0.5%
all 11 -16.8% -24.7% 27% 27% -0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.7% 27% -0.5%
10% -31.9% 18% -10.0%
15% -38.5% 18% -18.7%
20% -44.5% 18% -26.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.29 · official $30.29 (match) · 44 history records